Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, March 26

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ML - HAWKS (x1)

WHO WILL STOP BUDDY???

 I expect Hawthorn to be one of the big movers in 2011 and really challenge for the flag! They have added Hale to help out their lacking ruck department and the inclusion of Bruce who came over from the Demons for nothing is a bonus. He will add that touch of class coming out of defence. Hawthorn have had their best pre season in years with all bar Hodge fit and ready to go. Hodge is a big loss but I think they have plenty of running power to cover. Adelaide will field a side that will look very different to what we are use to with McLeod, Edwards, Burton, Goodwin, Hentschell all retiring and Bock moving on. This is a huge hole to fill in one hit. The big question is will the likes of Vince, Douglas, Reilly, Thompson be able to lead from the front?

Looking to tonight's game I see a huge advantage with the Hawks run and carry through the midfield. Mitchell, Bateman, Burgoyne, Rioli, Young and Bruce will have to much class for the younger Crows Tambling, Sloan, McKay, Van Berlo etc. Also I think Buddy is set for a huge year! not sure who goes with him tonight as I'd expect Rutten to take Roughhead. Perhaps Otten and Davis will take turns? either way I see him tearing the young crows apart! Adelaide will struggle to produce a winning score IMO with a young and inexperienced forward set up of McKernan (1st game) Walker, Knights (back from long lay off). While Hawthorns record in Adelaide isn't great the did win here last year and in fact have beaten the crows in 4 of their last 6 meetings. Hawks for me win a close one.

(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Centrebet)
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1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsMarch 26, 2011 at 8:52 PM

    LOSS........ -1.05 units

    Hawks get out scored 12 goals to 5 in the second half. Not good enough Hawthorn.

    ReplyDelete

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