Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, March 26

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ML - SWANS (x1)

SWANS HAVE THE GOODES

I feel the book makers may have this game the wrong way round, Melbourne perhaps getting a little to much credit on potential. Melbourne have some injury concerns with young guns Scully, Frawley, McKenzie and Morton all out. Alot depends on the development of Jarrah and Watts for Melbourne this season and they will be looking to those two to kick them a winning score. Sydney who are renowned for their defense will make life very difficult for them. The idea of being favourites may not sit well with this young group and the expectation may get the better of them.

Sydney are a solid side and have had a good pre season and with the likes of Jack, Hannabury, Kennedy, McGlynn and Lewis offering plenty of run I think Sydney may just come out on top. Goodes looks the match winner as its hard to see who gets that job. Sydney with a little to much experience will do enough to take the points in the opener. Swans by 14.

(0.9u @ 2.1 @ Centrebet)
Posted by at

2 comments:

  1. baywatch BetsMarch 29, 2011 at 7:15 PM

    PUSH...... +0.05 units

    Wow a draw to start the season off. Somehow my 0.9 unit bet resulted in a 0.95 unit return.

    ReplyDelete
  2. AnonymousMay 27, 2013 at 6:59 AM

    Hello! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any problems with hackers?
    My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing a few months of
    hard work due to no data backup. Do you have any methods to protect
    against hackers?

    Here is my page :: buy saffron extract

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)