AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

ATS - W.BULLDOGS -33.5 (x2)
PLAYER EXOTIC - DT H2H - S.HIGGINS over D.CROSS (x1)

The Western Bulldogs got a much needed win last week over the Crows and cling to the slim chance of playing finals in 2011. That will all be for nothing if they don't capitalize on today's match with the the Gold Coast. This will be the 2nd match between these two side with the Dogs winning easily by 71pts in round 3. While the young Suns have shown signs of improvement since then with winning 2 games and pushing some more fancied sides, they are still very inconsistent. They have and average losing margin of 51 points this year and that is about where I see this one ending up.

The Suns will welcome back young guns Smith and Swallow who look certain to be leaders of this club for years to come. While the Dogs who received a boost last week with Cooney returning, now will welcome the return of their spearhead Barry Hall! This is a huge inclusion against the younger bodied Suns as Bock will be forced to play tight on Hall.

It's the Bulldogs for me who will show no mercy against the Suns up their in QLD today. It's amazing what a win can do for a group that has been struggling. This will lift the confidence of the players and with key inclusions Cooney and Hall both back I see a big win for the Dogs.

After having a close look at the player exotic markets, I have found one that I feel offers good value. Shaun Higgins to post more DT points than Daniel Cross. Since returning from injury, Rocket has moved Higgins to the back  half in a more quarterback  type role which really suits as he is a great user of the pill. His DT scores have gone 73, 84, 95 & 105 in the last 4 weeks. So as you can see he is getting better each week. This is the game he will love and should get plenty of ball all over the ground. The last time the Dogs played the Suns Higgins scored 126! Cross has been a reliable servant for the dogs but over the past month has had scores of 56, 91, 51 & 86. So a bit below average for him. with odds of 1.97 for Higgins and 1.82 for Cross, I feel they have them the wrong way round. Higgins to have a big game against the smaller bodies of the suns.

(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
(1.05u @ 1.97 @ Centrebet)