AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - SWANS +24.5 (x2)

Carlton has been receiving plenty of praise and are touted as a top 3 side and a genuine challenger and rightly so. The Blues have won 3 in a row and are getting their best players on the field with Kruezer back last week, but today will tell a tail as it's always harder 2nd game up. Their last 3 wins were over Brisbane, Port and Melbourne. This is a much tougher test! Sydney have been quietly going about their business winning 5 of their last 6! and sitting right amongst the top 8!

Some big inclusions this week with big Mummy back as well as Jack looking likely to play a full game after starting last week as the sub. These two along with A.Goodes are almost the most important players for the Swans! Having big Mummy back will give his onballers a lot of confidence as he offers much more than just hit outs. Mumford's second efforts are first class. With him and Jack back in the middle the Swans look far more dangerous. One big query on the Blues is how Jamison's ankle has pulled up after he was subbed off last week. For the Blues sake he is a must down back especially with the Swans talls Reid, Goodes, Seaby, Roberts-Thompson and of course Mumford.

Sydney has had the better of the Blues over the past 10 years winning 14 of 16 played. With Carlton winning their last meeting @ the SCG you can expect the Swans to be up for this one and looking for revenge! While I'm not sure they can get the points I do expect the Swans to make life very difficult for the Blues who have had a pretty easy month. Taking the Swans with the 4 goal start.

(2.35 @ 1.85 @ Centrebet)