Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, February 4

NBA

NBA: 50-51-9(-0.66u @ 49.5%)

New York Knicks At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS -6.5 (x2) LOSS

Fading the Knicks here on the road against the rejuvenated Celtics! Here's why.

New York is on b2b games here after a tough match up against the Bulls at the Garden last night. A spot they have gone 1-5 this season. New York is terrible on the road! While their record of 4-7 might not seem that bad, take a look at those four wins. Charlotte, Detroit, Washington and Sacramento. Need I say more. New York has not won in Boston since 2006!

On the flip side Rondo is likely to start which is huge against the PG less Knicks. Boston has quietly got its season back on track going 6-1 of their last 7. They are enjoying a 5 home game sted and are well rested with all of their starters sitting the entire 4th Q last start! Add to all this a little revenge for the season opener which the Knocks won 106-104 and I am all over the Celtics! A letdown spot here for the fatigued Knicks up against an inform, well rested Celtics side playing at home! Boston win well!
(2.15u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)


Miami Heat At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - HEAT -1.5 (x1) WIN

While I was on the 76ers last start against the Bulls here at home, tonight is completely different! Their is no way the line should be the same for this one! Chicago was in a bad spot, minus 2 starters and were -2. Now we have a full strength Miami team coming off a loss laying exactly the same? I like Miami to respond well off a loss to the Bucks and perhaps a letdown for the 76ers.

Phili took care of Chicago who were without their starting shooting guard and small forward. Bad news as those two positions are Miami's strength! Wade & James! These two will cause match up nightmares tonight! I like Miami
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Added
LA LAKERS @ DENVER
4thQ - LAKERS +1 (x1) WIN
(up 4 @ 3rd. GL Lakers -3)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)
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