Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Wednesday, February 29

NRL

NRL SEASON PREVIEW


Season 2012 is just days away and I can not wait! last season after a bad start ended up being a successful one, finishing 65-54-3 @ 54.6% for +8.69u! I will look to improve on this. Here is a quick guide to how I rate the teams before kickoff and my top 8.

Premiership Contenders:

STORM
With Slater, Smith and Cronk leading the way, Melbourne will once again be a force in 2012. Coach Bellamy is the master at getting the best out of people. While the loss of Blair will hurt, they have signed Hoffman and Ryles who will fill that hole beautifully. Chambers returning is a bonus also!
WARRIORS
I see the Warriors as a huge threat this season. Off the back of last seasons run to the Grand Final I expect this young team to only get better. I love the emergence of Locke and Johnson in the 1 & 7 jumpers and Friend is a huge addition. Mt Smart will be a fortress and NZ will be Top 4!
TIGERS
Disappointing how they finished 2011, I expect the Tigers to be right there again. Benji is right with the best of them and with a fit Lote and the signing of Blair they have no excuses. Top 4 material.
COWBOYS
I think the books have got this team way off! they have them @ $16 for the flag and even money to make the top 8! I wouldn't be surprised to see Nth Queensland win the comp! I give them a huge chance to finish top 4! A fit JT pairing with new signing Lui is gold! This team has one of the best packs in the game and great depth! huge year for the Cowboys IMO!
BRONCOS
This is a hard one. I see the Broncos either dominating or falling right off the cliff! Their youth is the best in the game! and still have a great pack and great leaders in Sam, Petro and Parker! but how will the cope without Lockyer? I still rate them highly. Top 8 and always a danger.
BULLDOGS
Can this group pull together under new coach Des? Yep! Big improver's 2012. Graham is a great get and only adds to the already tough pack of Ennis, Tolman and Frank! Barba looms as the spark and I expect a breakout year! He is my tip to score the most trys in 2012! young halves is my only concern but have them in my top 8!
KNIGHTS
Bennett has arrived and has brought some friends! on paper they have a great spine. 1,6,7,9 in Boyd, Gidley, Mullen & Buderus! I expect a big jump for the Knights this year but perhaps 2013 is their time.
SEA EAGLES
The Premiers of 2011 are facing a drop IMO. The loss of Hasler is massive. While I love the halves in Foran & DCE, I see a bit of a slide but still top 8.... Just.
DRAGONS
Much like Manly only the loss of Bennett will take a while to get over. Boyd hurts also. Dragons will be there abouts but don't see them really threatening
RABBITOHS
Souths are forever taking 1 step forward 2 steps back! can they make the finals in 2012? Not quite for mine. While they are strong in the centres with King a true professional and still have a devastating pack, its the halves that is the concern. I hope they scrap in but wouldn't bet on it.

ALL THE OTHERS

TITANS
Have added some great signings and will improve. After finishing last they had to right! I do have optimism for the Titans. But I think will fall short of the 8.
SHARKS
Carney will be a hit and no one can argue with Gallen's efforts and presence on and off the field. This team will have some success in 2012 and are building something!
EELS
Sandow brings excitement and should bring Hayne into the game more which will excite the fans. But not this year for Parramatta
PANTHERS, ROOSTERS, RAIDERS
Spoon anyone? Tough year coming for these teams

So my Top 8 is.....

STORM
WARRIORS
COWBOYS
TIGERS
BRONCOS
BULLDOGS
SEA EAGLES
KNIGHTS

DRAGONS, RABBITOHS, TITANS all just miss

NBA

NBA: 75-75-9 (+5.41u @ 50%)

Minnesota Timberwolves At Los Angeles Clippers
1st Q - CLIPPERS -2 (x1) WIN

It's always tough to pick 1st game back after the All Star break, as some teams respond better to having a few days rest where others didn't get much rest at all if well represented over the week end. I like the Clippers here at home today who will be seeking revenge over Minnesota!

As we all know this play has always been a favorite as the Clippers tend to explode in the opener especially at home! And if you saw the way Blake Griffen and CP3 performed in the All Star Game I don't think they will be at all rusty! They were on fire! Keeping it simple today with the one play! Clippers to cover the bucket here in the 1st!
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Centrebet)

Tuesday, February 28

NCAA CBB

NCAAB: 83-69-2 (+4.22u @ 54.6%)

WEEK 16

Eveansville @ Creighton
2nd H - CREIGHTON -6.5 (x1) LOSS
(Down 1 @ half. GL Creighton -5.5)
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Kentucky @ Mississippi St
2ND H - KENTUCKY -8.5 (x1) WIN
(Down 13 @ half. GL Kentucky +4.5)
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Pinnacle)

Temple v La Salle
ATS - LA SALLE +2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
Louisville @ Cincinnati
ATS - CINCINNATI -1.5 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)

Drake @ Wichita St
ATS - DRAKE +16 (x1) LOSS
(1.0u @ 1.99 @ Pinnacle)

Samford v Tenn Chattanooga
ATS - SAMFORD +2.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)

Northwestern v Penn State
ML - NORTHWESTERN (x2) WIN
(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Florida State v Miami Florida
ML - MIAMI FL (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Notre Dame v Georgetown
1st H - GEORGETOWN -3.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Sunday, February 26

AFL NAB CUP

NAB CUP ROUND 1

COLLINGWOOD @ GWS
ATS - GWS +29.5 (x0.5) WIN
(0.55u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)

Essendon @ WCE
ATS - BOMBERS +8.5 (x0.5) LOSS
(0.55u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Fremantle vs Essendon
1ST H - DOCKERS -4.5 (x0.5) WIN
(0.55u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

2ND H - DOCKERS -2.5 (x0.5)
(Up 13 @ half. GL Dockers -15.5) WIN
(0.55u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Fremantle vs West Coast
ATS - DOCKERS +3.5 (x0.5) LOSS
(0.55u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Geelong v St.Kilda
ATS - CATS -1.5 (x0.5) LOSS
(0.55u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Melbourne v Brisbane
ML - LIONS (x1) LOSS
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)

Brisbane v Gold Coast
ATS - SUNS +3.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Carlton @ Adelaide
ML - CROWS (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

NBA

ALL Star fun bet

MULTI (x7) LOSS
Westbrook (SC)
Anderson (3pt)
Williams (DC)
(0.1u @ $72 @ Centrebet)

Friday, February 24

NBA

NBA: 73-74-9 (+3.54u @ 49.7%)
Orlando Magic At Atlanta Hawks
ATS - MAGIC -2.5 (x1) LOSS


Atlanta return home from a long and tiring 5 game road trip which they clearly struggled! It appears the Hawks will again be without Johnson as well as Horford once again and this leaves to much to Smith and Teague. With no real presence in the paint, Orlando should feed Dwight all night long! He should have a day out! And once the Hawks are forced to double this will only open the door for Orlando's three point shooters!

Both teams are on b2b but I feel the lack of confidence in the Hawks and the fact they are returning from a hard road trip will catch them out! Undermanned and undersized isn't a good combination. Dwight will have some fun in tis one and I see Orlando winning and covering here.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

ADDED
2nd H - MAGIC -7 (x1.5) WIN
(down 17 @ half. GL Magic +10)
(1.5u @ 2.04 @ Pinnacle)

San Antonio @ Denver
ATS - SPURS -4 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Thursday, February 23

NBA

NBA: 72-74-9 (+2.04u @ 49.3%)

Atlanta Hawks At New York Knicks
ATS - KNICKS -5.5 (x1.5) WIN


NY failed last start with Melo joining the Linsanity! It was to be expected, Melo was also going to be a little rusty 1st up and JR Smith is still getting familiar with his new team. So after that disappointing performance I expect the Knicks to be ready for Atlanta and keen to put on a show for their fans!

Atlanta look to be without Johnson for this one which is a huge blow! Already without their Starting center Horford now they will be missing their key scorer. The Hawks are a bit of a mess right now and my guess is they can't wait to regroup and head home! This will be the last of a long road trip and they are spent! I feel a double digit win the home side here!
(1.7u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)

Wednesday, February 22

NBA

New Orleans Hornets At Indiana Pacers
1ST Q - HORNETS +3 (x1) WIN


Indiana are laying a lot of points here at home and rightly so! The Hornets have been ordinary to say the least this season. However they have managed to win a few games recently and also cover! With all but Gordon back now I like the Hornets to tick with Indiana here early. They may even lead at the 1st break.
(0.95u @ 2.04 @ Pinnacle)

Philadelphia 76ers At Memphis Grizzlies
ML - GRIZZLES (x2) WIN

Phili dropped a heartbreaker last start against th TWolves, which makes it 3 in a row! They will be hungry to get back to winning but will again be without big man Hawes which is proving the difference in this talented team. To add to that Brand is also out leaving the Sixers with limited options in the paint! Look for Gasol to dominate tonight. Memphis are a tough defensive team, especially at home. I like them to grind out a tough win SU!
(1.05u @ 1.98 @ Centrebet)
(1u @ 2.01 @ Betfair)

Monday, February 20

NBA

San Antonio Spurs At Utah Jazz
ATS - SPURS -3 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Los Angeles Clippers At Golden State Warriors
ATS - CLIPPERS -3 (x1) LOSS
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Portland Trail Blazers At Los Angeles Lakers
1st Q - LAKERS -1 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Centrebet)

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers At Minnesota Timberwolves
1ST H - 76ERS -0.5 (x2) WIN

What has gone wrong at Phili? There 2nd half collaps last start against the Mavs was inexcusable! This team is far to talented and has not dropped 3 in a row so far this season. Yes they are still missing Hawes and his presence in the paint is huge but with 48hrs to stew on that devastating loss at home I expect a huge performance from this group!

As we know they don't seem to have a problem starting matches it's just the finishing! Minny who are going well now have Love back and playing well seem to be the opposite? They have come from behind to finish games well. Here's hoping this trend continues here tonight. With all that said 76ers must and will start well as they will want desperately to put that last start out of theirs and everyone else's memories! Sixers to lead at the half!
(1.9u @ 2.07 @ Pinnacle)

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
ATS - LAKERS -2.5 (x1) LOSS

LA have dominated the first 2 matches against the Suns this season all be it at home which they have been a force! They now take on the Suns in Pheonix how will be looking for some pay back for these two losses! I just don't see it. If LA sticks to what works which is pound the paint! Get Gasol and Bynum involved and take advantage of the Suns lack of size. Not to mention Kobe's record against Pheonix.... He clearly goes up a gear against the Suns which is not good news for the home side tonight. Lakers win this one and cover!
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Added
2ND H - LAKERS -6.5 (x2) WIN
(down 17 @ half. GL Lakers +16.5)
(2.15u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

NCAA CBB

NCAAB: 79-68-2 (+2.31u @ 53.7%)

WEEK 15
Virginia v Clemson
ATS - CLEMSON -1.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

North Carolina @ Miami FL
2nd H - UNC - 5 (x1) WIN
(down 5 @ half. GL UNC PK)
(1.0u @ 2.07 @ Pinnacle)

Virginia Tech v Florida State
ATS - VIRGINIA TECH +10 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)

IPFW v Eastern Kentucky
ATS - EASTERN KENTUCKY -2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

UT Arlington v Weber State
ATS - WEBER ST -4.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)

Iowa @ Indiana
ATS - INDIANA -4 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Sunday, February 19

NBA

San Antonio @ LA Clippers
2ND H - CLIPPERS -2.5 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)

Atlanta @ Portland
2nd H - HAWKS -1.5 (x1.5)
(Down 15 @ Half. GL Hawks +13.5)
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Friday, February 17

NBA

NBA: 65-68-9 (+0.02u @ 48.9%)

Denver Nuggets At Memphis Grizzlies
ATS - GRIZZLES -3.5 (x1)

Denver travel to Memphis after a disappointing performance against the Mavs last start will again be without 3 of their starters Nene, Gal and Mozgov! Very tough ask for anyone. Memphis after a rough form patch are looking to win their 3rd in a row.
Without these 3 starters, Denver is now relying on Lawson, Affalo and Fernandez for offense. Trouble with that is Memphis are one of the better defensive teams in the NBA! Especially at the guards with Conoly and Allen.

It will be tough for Denver to get going on Offense tonight. And with their 3 starters at the forwards and Centre will struggle to contain Memphis's two big offensive weapons Gay and Gasol! Memphis to good at home for mine. Cover the 2 buckets!
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

Dallas Mavericks At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - 76ERS -2.5 (x1)

The Sixers will be desperate for a win tonight having losses badly last start in Orlando and have also dropped their past 2 games at home. Phili has been a tough place for visitors recently 13-5, and the Sixers are do bounce back very well off a loss!

Dallas is enjoying a five game winning run they come into tonight match minus 3 guards! Terry, West, and Beaubois will all miss which will really stretch this veteran team. Big minutes will be needed from Kidd, Carter and Odom here. Tough ask against a very deep Sixers side at home. The combination of Williams, Holiday and Turner will test Kidd and Carter in particular. Sixers bounce back for a nice win at home!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

NBA

NBA: 62-67-9 (-4.14u @ 48%)

Los Angeles Clippers At Portland Trail Blazers
1ST Q - CLIPPERS -0.5 (x2) LOSS
ATS - CLIPPERS -1.5 (x1.5) WIN

Loving the Clippers here tonight on the road facing Portland! The Blazers are on b2b2b games here coming off a hard fought win in Golden State last night. They will again be without big Forward Aldridge! While they managed with out their All Star last night, here they will be found out! David Lee had a solid game against them last night but here they will have to account for the explosive Griffin and 7fter Jordan! I see LA dominating the paint and the Glass here at the Rose Garden!

The Clippers are also on b2b games here having shaken off a determined Washington side last night at home to win by just under 20! The Clippers are actually 5-2 this season in their 2nd on b2b situations and are 7-6 on the road. While Portland bosts on of the better home records @ 11-4, they have dropped their past 3 straight here!

With Portland on b2b2b and missing Aldridge that is a big fade! I also love the fact the Clippers now hold one of the best PG going around in CP3! He will expose the Blazers weakness here and feed Griffin and Jordan all night! And as we know LA are great starters so over the 1st Q spot! Taken the game also as is a small line and I see them winning this one as well!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)


ADDED
- CLIPPERS PK (x2.5) WIN
Live @ end of 1st Q
(1.4u @ 2.96 @ Pinnacle)

2ND H - CLIPPERS -4 (x2) WIN
(down 11 @ half. Gameline Clips +7)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, February 16

NBA

NBA: 62-65-9 (-0.26u @ 48.8%)
Oklahoma City Thunder At Houston Rockets
ATS - THUNDER -3 (x1.5) LOSS

On the Thunder to grab a road win in Houston today! The Rockets are on b2b games after losing to Memphis yesterday. They are also returning home from a long 6 game stint on the road. I expect them to come out a little rusty. Coming up against OKC isn't the team to be rusty against! They are playing great ball right now! 22-6, with an impressive 12-5 record on the road.
While the Thunder will also be on b2b games they will hardly be fatigued having dealt with Utah quite easily last night and have had 3 days off before that game! This rest is like gold in this shortened season. Something Houston would love right now!

The Match ups here also favour OKC. Much like I stated in last nights play against Memphis. OKC has a great defensive stopper at the 2 guard in Sefolosha to frustrate K.Martin even more! Also the matchup for Durant has me guessing? Thunder cover the 3 here!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportsbet)

ADDED
Portland @ Golden State
2nd H - WARRIORS -4 (x2) LOSS
(down 3 @ half. GL Warriors -1)
(2.2u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)

Wednesday, February 15

NBA

Houston Rockets At Memphis Grizzlies
ATS - GRIZZLES -3 (x1) WIN

I'm on Memphis to get the points against Houston at home tonight! Houston will be playing their final game of a long 6 game road trip, and will be looking forward to getting home! Where Memphis has gone 1-1 in its last 2 home matches will be looking to respond from a disappointing showing last start losing to Utah.

Memphis is one of the top ranked defensive teams this season and will be looking to shut down Houston's high scoring play. They force alot of opposition turn overs and this will take affect against a fatigue Rockets side tonight.

Allen is a great match up for K.Martin and will frustrate all night. While M.Gasol is now getting some recognition after being selected as an All Star is a tough match up for anyone. I expect a great contest with Scola also. The area I see Memphis taking the upper hand is Rudy Gay! I don't see a real match up for him and he could have a night out! With that in mind and the luxury of being at home for a third straight match, I like Memphis to cover tonight!
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)

ADDED
2nd H - PACERS -5 (x1) WIN
(down 29 @ half. GL Pacers +24)
(1.1u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Tuesday, February 14

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves At Orlando Magic
1ST Q - MAGIC -1.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Philadelphia 76ers At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - 76eERS -11.5 (x1) LOS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Miami Heat At Milwaukee Bucks
1ST H - HEAT -3.5 (x2) WIN
(2.1u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Sunday, February 12

NBA

Chicago Bulls At Boston Celtics
ATS - BULLS -2.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

TEASER
Los AngelesLakers At Toronto Raptors
Miami Heat At Atlanta Hawks
DOUBLE - LAKERS PK / HAWKS +10.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportingbet)

NBA

NBA: 57-61-9 (-2.32u @ 48.3%)

Philadelphia 76ers At Cleveland Cavaliers
1ST H - 76ERS -3.5 (x1.5) WIN

Sticking with the Sixers here again tonight. They couldn't quite finish last night losing at home to the Clippers by 1. This was their 2nd straight loss at home, and the first time this season they have dropped 2 straight! I expect this group to come out strong here on the road in Cleveland tonight!

While the Sixers are in b2b games and playing 3rd in 4. The CAVS are in a worse spot. Also on b2b games coming off an OT loss, playing 3rd in 4, which will also be their 4th in 5! Cleveland while have been honest in their efforts this season face tonight's tough task minus some pretty handy players with Irving, Varaejao and Parker! Huge holes to fill against this strong deep team. Sixers for mine!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Portland Trail Blazers At Dallas Mavericks
ATS - MAVERICKS -4 (x1) LOSS


Once again both these teams are on b2b games with Portland winning against the struggling Hornets and Dallas to strong for Minny! Dallas return home here after a 3 game road trip and will have gained confidence with their two recent performances. Defeating the Nuggets and TWolves. On top of that, they are finally getting healthy! Kidd will be better after his return and Dirk is getting his shot back!

Dallas when healthy has one of the deepest teams in the league and will get plenty from their bench down the stretch. The Mavs recent form and health is one key factor but the other is fading this Portland team in the road! They struggled last night and had to fight hard to put away the Hornets. This was just their 4th win from 13 attempts on the road this season! Add to that the fatigue of b2b games on the road and I Dallas looks even better! Mavs win and cover the 4pts here at home!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Saturday, February 11

NCAA CBB

NCAAB: 78-63-2 (+8.46u @ 55.3%)

Florida v Kentucky
ATS - FLORIDA +9 (x2) LOSS
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Georgetown v Syracuse
ATS - GEORGETOWN +9 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Duke v North Carolina
ATS - UNC -6 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Wisconsin v Minnesota
ATS - MINNESOTA +2 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Wichita State v Creighton
ATS - CREIGHTON -1 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Loyola Marymount v Gonzaga
ATS - LOYOLA MARYMOUNT +13 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - 76ers -3.5 (x1) LOSS

Sticking with Phili here to bounce back from a poor performance last start against the Spurs. The Sixers have responded well after a loss winning SU after each of their 8. I expect them to bounce back once again here. They are also once again playing at home. This team has had the best schedule to date. Traveling just 9 times!

The Clippers are in the middle of a tough road trip, now playing their 4th. They are working out how to play minus one of their stars and leaders Billips right now and here in Phili isn't the place to do it. While I expect a better performance from LA than last start, it won't be enough. Phili has to much depth and play well at home. Sixers cover tonight!
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

TEASER

Atlanta Hawks At Orlando Magic
Portland Trail Blazers At New Orleans Hornets
DOUBLE - HAWKS +10.5 / BLAZERS PK (x1.5) WIN

Short and sweet here, I expect a bit of a let down from Orlando after a huge win over Miami last start. Atlanta getting to many points here for a solid team, was very close to taking the +5 alone. But have grabbed extra in what I believe will be a close match.

Blazers were awful last start and must find some form now! They will have to many weapons for an undermanned and struggling Hornets side who have been beaten by everyone! Portland get a road win tonight!
(1.7u @ 1.89 @ Sportingbet)

ADDED LIVE
LAL @ NY
- LAKERS +1 (x1) LOSS
(DOWN 4-11 early in 1st)
(1.1u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)


2nd H - JAZZ -0.5 (x1) LOSS
(Down 5 @ half. GL JAZZ +4.5)
(1.05u @ 1.97 @ Pinnacle)

Friday, February 10

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers At Boston Celtics
ATS - LAKERS +3.5 (x1.5) WIN


Rolling with the Lakers here to bounce back after 2 recent losses on the road. The most recent against the Sixers will still sting as they were up 7 inside the last 5 mins. A big response from Kobe!

However this is not where I see the Lakers taking the upper hand. Last time I checked LA still has 2 All Star 7 footers on it roster? Bynum and Gasol will take advantage of Boston's lack size and get inside more often than not. Look for plenty of second half points here from the Lakers Bigs! Taking the Points in what should be a close encounter!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Oklahoma City Thunder At Sacramento Kings
1ST H - THUNDER -3 (x1) LOSS

OKC are on their 3rd road game having "stolen" their past 2, they face a Kings team in some sort of form. However Sac town are awful starters, winning thierry past few from behind. The Thunder are fast starters and I see Durant taking charge of this one in the early going. Thunder lead well early!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, February 9

NBA

NBA: 54-54-9(+0.20u @ 50%)

Miami Heat At Orlando Magic
ATS - HEAT -3.5 (x1) LOSS

Miami took until the last quarter to put away the CAVS last night, reasons being they had they eyes on this game. Its not news the Magic are struggling, while they have put a few wins on the board recently this is a big test! Huge match up problems for Orlando tonight!

While their obviously strong at the centre position with Dwight, they lack any real stoppers in the 2 and 3 spots. Crucial against the Heat with LeBron and Wade! Look for those two to take over late and get yet another road win for Miami.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Indiana Pacers At Atlanta Hawks
1st H - HAWKS -1.5 (x1) WIN

Atlanta have now dropped 3 straight at home! They have copped a bashing from all areas and must make a stand! They get the Pacers on b2b and must start well! The Hawks are a front running side. When the get off to a good start the generally go on with it. So it is important they start well tonight. They will be keen to put up better performance for their fans tonight! Hawks cover the bucket in the first half.
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

ADDED
Houston @ Portland
2ND H - BLAZERS -8 (x1) LOSS
(down 14 @ half. GL Blazers +6)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Wednesday, February 8

NBA

TEASER
Cleveland Cavaliers At Miami Heat
Sacramento Kings At Minnesota Timberwolves

DOUBLE - CAVS +18.5 / TWOLVES PK (x2) WIN

Taking a double here today as I like both these teams in these spots. Miami hosts Cleveland and while I fully expect Miami to get the points I also think this CAVS team will show some resistance. Much like Miami's last start against Toronto I feel they will let up and rest their stars with a look ahead to Orlando tomorrow. Cleveland to keep it within 10-12 here.

2nd up I Love Minnesota here against a tired Kings team on the road even without K.Love! Sac Town are on b2b road games here after a huge come from behind win over the struggling Hornets last night. Huge minutes for their starters. They are also on 3 in 4 days after another tough OT win against the Warriors 3 days back! Minni are rested having not played since the 4th! Wolves win at home!
(2.15 @ 1.94 @ Centrebet)

Tuesday, February 7

NBA

NBA: 53-53-9 (-0.30u @ 50%)

Phoenix Suns At Atlanta Hawks
1ST H - HAWKS -4.5 (x1.5) LOSS

Looking at a huge effort early on in this one from Atlanta! The Hawks have lost their past 2 games at home against Memphis and The 76ers. With a day off to assess I expect to see a much more desperate side as they will not want to lose a 3rd straight, especially at home!
Pheonix are playing their 3rd in 4 days and don't travel that well, 4-8 on the road. I'm not sure who will cover Smith and Johnson here and I expect a high scoring affair. Hawks get away well early here.
(1.55u @ 1.97 @ Pinnacle)

Sunday, February 5

NFL

NFL: 41-38-4 (-1.19u @ 51.9%)

SUPERBOWL 2012
ITS THE BRADY SHOW!!!




New York Giants At New England Patriots
ATS - PATRIOTS -2.5 (x2) LOSS
(2.4u @ 1.85 @ Pinnacle)

NBA

NBA: 52-52-9(-0.80u @ 50%)

Philadelphia 76ers At Atlanta Hawks
ATS - 76ERS +4 (x1.5) WIN


Looking for Phili to bounce back well here in Atlanta! The 76ers have beaten the Bulls well and lost badly to Miami at home in the last two games. I expect a much better performance tonight! Phili have responded with a win after every one of their losses this season. Even though this is a b2b game for the 76ers, I don't view it as a huge fatigue spot for them as they have been based at home for the past 7 games! That is a great luxury in this condensed season. Also the fact they are 4-2 in b2b games this season.

The Hawks are coming of an embarrassing loss to the GRIZZLES last start in their first game home off a long 5 game road trip so you could excuse them for being a little rusty, but almost 20pts. Wow! You could also argue Atlanta will be focused and on revenge for an earlier loss to Phili bit I just don't see it. Phili match up well and have multiple avenues to score. I like the Sixers with the points tonight!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)


Golden State Warriors At Sacramento Kings
ML - WARRIORS (x1) LOSS

I like the way the Warriors are starting to gel now under new coach Jackson. They are also finally healthy and Monte and Steph Curry looked awesome last start! While the Kings produced a nice come from behind win over Portland last start, they have rarely put two solid performances in a row. I like the momentum of the Warriors in this one and think they win outright on the road. Good value too!
(1.0u @ 2.11 @ Sportsbet)

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 75-60-2 (+9.84u @ 55.6%)

WEEK 13

St. Johns v Depaul
ATS - DEPAUL -3 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Middle Tenn St v North Texas
ATS - NTH TEXAS +5 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Columbia v Dartmouth
ATS - COLUMBIA -4 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Creighton v Northern Iowa
ATS - CREIGHTON -1 (x2) LOSS
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Tennessee State v SE Missouri State
ATS - TENNESSEE ST +1 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

NTH CAROLINA @ MARYLAND
2nd H - UNC -8 (x1) WIN
(down 3 @ half. GL UNC -5)
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Pinnacle)

Saturday, February 4

NBA

NBA: 50-51-9(-0.66u @ 49.5%)

New York Knicks At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS -6.5 (x2) LOSS

Fading the Knicks here on the road against the rejuvenated Celtics! Here's why.

New York is on b2b games here after a tough match up against the Bulls at the Garden last night. A spot they have gone 1-5 this season. New York is terrible on the road! While their record of 4-7 might not seem that bad, take a look at those four wins. Charlotte, Detroit, Washington and Sacramento. Need I say more. New York has not won in Boston since 2006!

On the flip side Rondo is likely to start which is huge against the PG less Knicks. Boston has quietly got its season back on track going 6-1 of their last 7. They are enjoying a 5 home game sted and are well rested with all of their starters sitting the entire 4th Q last start! Add to all this a little revenge for the season opener which the Knocks won 106-104 and I am all over the Celtics! A letdown spot here for the fatigued Knicks up against an inform, well rested Celtics side playing at home! Boston win well!
(2.15u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)


Miami Heat At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - HEAT -1.5 (x1) WIN

While I was on the 76ers last start against the Bulls here at home, tonight is completely different! Their is no way the line should be the same for this one! Chicago was in a bad spot, minus 2 starters and were -2. Now we have a full strength Miami team coming off a loss laying exactly the same? I like Miami to respond well off a loss to the Bucks and perhaps a letdown for the 76ers.

Phili took care of Chicago who were without their starting shooting guard and small forward. Bad news as those two positions are Miami's strength! Wade & James! These two will cause match up nightmares tonight! I like Miami
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Added
LA LAKERS @ DENVER
4thQ - LAKERS +1 (x1) WIN
(up 4 @ 3rd. GL Lakers -3)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Friday, February 3

NBA

NBA: 49-51-9 (-1.66u @ 49%)

Portland Trail Blazers At Sacramento Kings
1ST H - BLAZERS -1.5 (x1) WIN

Taking the Blazers here tonight against the struggling Kings. Yes Portland have struggled on the road this season 3-8 but this is the perfect spot to turn that around against the 6-15 Kings who have dropped their last 5 straight! Of all the games Portland have let slip on the road they have actually started well in most. Sac Town are dreadful starters either at home or on the road.

Portland will be well rested after a dominate display against the Bobcats win by just under 50! Gotta go with the form side and I expect Portland to carry this form into tonight's match early on. Blazers to be cover the bucket in the 1st half and should get that much needed road win!
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, February 2

NBA

Chicago Bulls At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - 76ERS +2 (x1) WIN

Chicago will be without Deng and RIP tonight and are playing their 3rd on the road and 3rd in 4 days. Tough spot up against a solid deep team in Phili, especially at home. Taking the Sixers as home dogs today!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Miami Heat At Milwaukee Bucks
1ST H - HEAT -3.5 (x2) WIN


Rolling with Miami here to start with a bang! They were sluggish to start last match and have made a point that this needs to improve! Milwalkee defeated the Heat earlier this season so a revenge angle here for Miami also! All starters were well rested last game so will be fresh for this one. I expect a Miami to take care of Milwaulkee minus Bogut and Jackson questionable? Heat to start well!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)