Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Tuesday, January 31

NBA

HUGE 3 UNIT BOMB!

Boston Celtics At Cleveland Cavaliers
ATS - CELTICS -3 (x3) PUSH


REVENGE REVENGE REVENGE!!!

Boston let their last game against the CAVS slip at home when they had it under control being up 11 with just over 4mins remaining. Cleveland then went on a 12-0 run to win 88-87 and stun the Celtics in their own home!
While they will still be without Rondo, this group will be stung by this loss and will be to proud to let that happen again. Big 3 Garnett, Pierce and Allen must stand up here and redeem themselves and their ball club.

Cleveland will be missing both 2 guards Parker and Gibson so not sure who starts now? This may open up more options for the vet Allen or Pierce to expose a rookie. Either way I am loving this spot and Boston will get revenge in this must win game on the road in Cleveland!
(3.3u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 70-59-2(+5.86u @ 54.3%)

WEEK 12

Akron v Ball State
ATS - BALL ST -2 (x1) LOSS
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Villanova @ Louisville
2nd H - LOUISVILLE -8.5 (x1) WIN
(1.0 @ 2.0 @ Pinnacle)
(Down 5 @ half. GL Louisville -3.5)

Dayton @ St. Joseph's
2nd H - ST.JOSEPHS -3 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)
(Down 5 @ Half. GL St.Josephs +2)

Florida @ Mississippi
ATS - MISSISSIPPI +5.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Sportsbet)

San diego State v Colorado State
ATS - COLORADO ST +3 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)

Pittsburgh v West Virginia
ATS - PITTSBURG +6.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Betfair)

NBA

NBA: 47-48-8 (-0.84u @ 49.5%)

Portland Trail Blazers At Utah Jazz
ATS - BLAZERS -1.5 (x1.5)
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

San Antonio Spurs At Memphis Grizzlies
ATS - GRIZZLES -6 (x1)
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Oklahoma City Thunder At Los Angeles Clippers
ATS - THUNDER -2 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Monday, January 30

NBA

Chicago @ Miami
2nd H - BULLS +2 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)
(down 5 @ half. GL Bulls +7)

LAL @ MINNESOTA & LAC @ DENVER
DOUBLE - LAKERS +9.5 / CLIPPERS +10.5 (x1) WIN
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Centrebet

Sunday, January 29

NBA

NBA: 45-45-8 (+2.0u @ 50%)

Los Angeles Lakers At Milwaukee Bucks
ATS - LAKERS -5 (x2) LOSS
Added
2nd H - LAKERS -5 (x1) LOSS
(1.0u @ 2.03 @ Pinnacle)
(Down 8 @ half. GL Lakers +3)


Have the Lakers turned he corner? I believe so! They got more out of Gasol, Artest and even young Rookie Gouldelock last start! It's amazing what a big win like that will do for these guys confidence! While LA are just 1-6 away, they get the Bucks in a vulnerable spot! On b2b and without Andrew and Jackson!

Milwaukee is 0-6 with no rest this season and will have no answers for the Lakers Big men with Bogut on the sidelines! Lakers to gain momentum and win well on the road!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)


Memphis Grizzlies At Phoenix Suns
ATS - GRIZZLES -3.5 (x1.5) LOSS

Rolling with Memphis tonight to get the job done on the road in Pheonix! Memphis finish a 4 game road trip here tonight and are currently 1-2 on the trip. After suffering two losses at the hands of Portland and he Clippers, I believe Memphis will be more desperate here to get back to the winners list and finish this trip off well!
Clearly Memphis are the more talented side and get Pheonix on b2b returning home from a bad beat up in Portland. While the Suns are marginally better at home 3-5 they have dropped heir last 3 against Toronto, Cleveland and New Jersey! Memphis get the win tonight!
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Saturday, January 28

NBA

NBA: 45-43-8 (+4.79u @ 51.1%)

Indiana Pacers At Boston Celtics
ATS - PACERS -2.5 (x1.5)

I'm fading the veteran Celtics team here on b2b games coming off an unbelievable come from behind win in Orlando last night! Boston were down over 20 at the half and managed to win by 8! What's more remarkable is this was without Ray Allen or Rondo! Gutsy effort no doubt. But this win is sure to take its toll on the C's vets. Peirce and Garnett were the driving force behind last nights win and as a result put up monster minutes with little rest down the stretch. Backing up here is going to be tough against a hard blue collar team like Indiana.

The Pacers have won both meetings between these sides already this season and I see them making that 3 in a row tonight! The Pacers are tough defensively and are dominate on the glass. They will be to physical for the fatigued and undermanned Celtics, who will be again without Rondo and Allen with O'neal also doubtful. Can't see The vets Garnett and Pierce repeating last night efforts on b2b. Pacers win here!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Atlanta Hawks At Detroit Pistons
1ST H - HAWKS -3 (x1)

While Atlanta has been impressive so far this season, they are coming off its worse loss of the season getting beat up by the Spurs by 22 last start. The Hawks are 4-1 coming off a loss so far and I expect them to bounce back well here against the 4-15 Pistons!

Detroit have shown signs of improvement recently but are still hurt by injuries with Bynum, Gordon, Villanueva all missing and Prince listed as doubtful. Atlanta on the other hand are still without Horford but are otherwise healthy with Teague and Hindrich both playing.

Atlanta have been typically fast starters and Detroit are the complete opposite, regularly giving up big leads. With Atlanta in the middle of a 5 game road trip I expect this trend to continue. They will be keen to start well and then look to get some rest into their starters. Hawks to lead well at the half!
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Friday, January 27

NBA

NBA: 43-43-8 (+1.70u @ 50%)

Boston Celtics At Orlando Magic
1ST H - MAGIC -5.5 (x2) WIN

REVENGE REVENGE REVENGE!!!!
Orlando were embarrassed a few night back by the Celtics in Orlando. Dwight and all his team mates had a terrible night And we're spanked by 30 points! While the Magic were able to put in a good performance in beating the Pacers last start, I expect they have this one as their high priority!

Boston will again be without Allen and Rondo is listed as doubtful. Although the C's are famous for their "Big 3" it's the other guy that I feel is the most important! Rondo is the general out there and has quickly developed into one of the prime point guards in the league! His loss will be felt here!

Orlando are typically fast starters and with a point to prove tonight will be no exception! I expect Orlando to make a statement here early and wouldn't be surprised to see a double digit lead at the half!
(2.15u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)


Memphis Grizzlies At Los Angeles Clippers
1ST Q - CLIPPERS -1 (x1) WIN

This was one of my pet plays last season and while I haven't pulled the trigger recently the Clips continue to be a fast starting team! They will be stung by last nights tough loss at the hands of the Lakers and on b2b here will be better early on and my feel the pinch late?

Memphis are playing their 3rd game on the road and have not started either of their first two well. While they escaped with a monster comeback against the Warriors, they were beaten easily last start against Portland. The match ups here will be tough for Memphis also. Gasol will find it tough against Blake and or DJ while Conoly will be out of his depth against the CP3, Billups, Williams combo! Clippers to put last night behind them and start well here against a struggling Memphis team on the road!
(1.1u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, January 26

NBA

NBA: 42-41-8(+1.95u @ 50.6%)

New York Knicks At Cleveland Cavaliers
ATS - KNICKS -3 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Milwaukee Bucks At Houston Rockets
ATS - ROCKETS -4 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Los Angeles Clippers At Los Angeles Lakers
ATS - LAKERS -3.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Wednesday, January 25

NBA

NBA: 41-41-8(+0.95u @ 50%)

Memphis Grizzlies At Portland Trail Blazers
ATS - BLAZERS -5.5 (x1) WIN
While Memphis pulled off a remarkable comeback win last night to get the cash for me I feel a let down here against a much tougher side!

Both teams are on b2b games and playing 4th in 5 days. But the Grizzles tough win would have taken more out of them than Portlands cruise over the Kings. This will be Memphis's 2nd straight road game and 3rd in 4 days. This combined with big minutes will take its toll!

Portland are still unbeaten at home and after a disappointing 2-4 road trip will be keen to keep that record in tact! The Blazers match up quite well here also. I think Portland will take advantage of a tired Grizzles squad here and win well!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Tuesday, January 24

NBA 2012

NBA: 40-41-8 (-0.06u @ 49.4%)

Memphis Grizzlies At Golden State Warriors
ATS - GRIZZLES +2 (x1) WIN

The Grizzles have been red hot recently winning 6 straight! Admittedly most of these were at home but they are currently 3-4 on the road, with losses to the Spurs, Bulls, Jazz and Lakers nothing to be ashamed of. Golden State are a very hot and cold side! They are 5-10 for the season and just 3-5 at home!

Memphis begin a 4 game road trip here and will be keen to start well! While I do think the Warriors will lift here at home I also think Memphis are a much better side. Taking the points with the side in form.
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 68-55-2 (+8.87u @ 55.3%)

WEEK 11

Memphis v Central Florida
ML - CENTRAL FLORIDA (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)

Nth Carolina @ Virginia Tech
2nd H - UNC -6 (x1) WIN
(1.1 @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)

South Carolina v Auburn
ATS - STH CAROLINA -1 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

UCLA v Oregon
ML - UCLA (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

South Dakota St v North Dakota State
ATS - NTH DAKOTA ST -2.5 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Loyola Marymount v Santa Clara
ML - SANTA CLARA (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

Sunday, January 22

NFL 2012

NFL: 39-38-4 (-5.70u @ 50.7%)

PLAYOFFS

New York Giants At San Francisco 49ers
ML - GIANTS (x1.5) WIN
(1.3u @ 2.15 @ Sportsbet)
TEASER
DOUBLE - PATRIOTS -0.5 / GIANTS +8 (x3) WIN
(3.6u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)

NBA 2012

NBA: 38-41-7 (-2.08u @ 48.1%)

Cleveland Cavaliers At Atlanta Hawks
1ST Q - HAWKS -2 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Centrebet)

Philadelphia 76ers At Miami Heat
1ST H - HEAT -3.5 (x1) WIN
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Pinnacle)

San Antonio Spurs At Houston Rockets
ATS - ROCKETS -3 (x1) PUSH
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Saturday, January 21

NBA 2012

Denver Nuggets At Washington Wizards
1ST H - NUGGETS -3.5 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)
Added
2nd H - Nuggets -6 (x1) PUSH
(1.0u @ 2.0 @ Pinnacle)

2nd H - 76ERS -6 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.97 @ Pinnacle)

Chicago Bulls At Cleveland Cavaliers
ATS - BULLS -5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Memphis Grizzlies At Detroit Pistons
ATS - GRIZZLES -4 (x2) WIN
(2.25u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)

Friday, January 20

NBA 2012

Dallas Mavericks At Utah Jazz
- JAZZ -2 (x2) LOSS

Dallas are on b2b games here, 3rd in 4 days, lost late last night by a Billips last shot and now travel to Utah to face a rested and much improved Jazz outfit. I see the Jazz winning this one by 6-10pts. This line of -2 just seems to good? I may be missing something but I love this spot for the Jazz!
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Added:
Los Angeles Lakers At Miami Heat
- LAKERS +5.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, January 19

NBA 2012

NBA: 35-35-6 (+2.25u @ 50%)

Denver Nuggets At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - 76ERS -5 (x1) LOSS

Denver are on b2b road games here and playing their 3rd in 4 nights, and while last nights win over the Bucks wouldn't have taken a lot out of them since the game was over at the half, tonight's match against the Sixers will be a much tougher ask!

Phili are undefeated at home, 6-0. They have had the luxury of being at home the last 4 days and have had a days rest. I see a few issues for the Nuggets tonight. Lawson has been dynamic so far with his pace catching most teams out. He may find that more difficult and the Williams / Holiday duo. Hawes back gives stability in the middle for Phili and Iguodala will be a tough match up for Gallinari. Phili are also great defending the perimeter, an area Denver excel in. So the Nuggets may find it difficult to get their 3's.

This is a good spot for Phili, they match up well and are at home! 76ers win and cover.
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Pinnacle)

Indiana Pacers At Sacramento Kings
ATS - PACERS -5 (x1) LOSS

Quite simple here. Pacers are a much improved team and the Kings are struggling! Indiana are not as effective on the road but then most teams aren't. They are well rested having 4 days rest. While the Kings are returning from a long road trip and will take time to find their feet. Indiana has to many weapons to contain tonight. Pacers win well!
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Added:
Dallas Mavericks At Los Angeles Clippers
ATS - MAVS -2 (x1) LOSS

Clippers look lost without their big signing play maker CP3, and are also missing back up point Williams. On b2b after being punished in Utah last night returning home for this one will be tough! Dallas are playing their 2nd game here at Staples after going down marginally to the Lakers will be ready and waiting! Mavs experience gets the win tonight!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Tuesday, January 17

NBA 2012

Golden State Warriors At Cleveland Cavaliers
ML - WARRIORS (x1.5) WIN
(1.25u @ 2.23 @ Centrebet)

Denver Nuggets At Milwaukee Bucks
ATS - NUGGETS -2.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

NBA 2012

NBA: 32-33-5 (+0.57u @ 49.2%)

Chicago Bulls At Memphis Grizzlies
ATS - BULLS -3.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.86 @ Pinnacle)

Cleveland Cavaliers At Charlotte Bobcats
ML - BOBCATS (x1) LOSS
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Sportingbet)

Oklahoma City Thunder At Boston Celtics
ATS - THUNDER -2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Dallas Mavericks At Los Angeles Lakers
ATS - LAKERS -3 (x2) PUSH
(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Monday, January 16

NBA 2012

NBA: 32-32-5 (+1.70u @ 50%)

Utah Jazz At Denver Nuggets
1ST H - NUGGETS -5.5 (x1) LOSS

The Jazz hit the road to play their 2nd of a b2b tonight in Denver. The Jazz are just 1-3 on the road so far this season. While the Nuggets are somewhat quietly going about their business. They are 8-4 on the season but 6-1 here at home! Beating quality sides Miami and Lakers! They also beat Utah earlier this season here by 17!

The Jazz may be looking for some revenge for that loss here but I just feel the deep Denver side has to much talent and their up tempo style will catch Utah off guard. Denver will start well here.
(1.15 @ 1.89 @ Pinnacle)

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 64-52-1 (+8.17u @ 55.2%)

WEEK 10

Morehead State v Tennessee State
ATS - TENNESSEE ST -5 (x1) PUSH
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Wisconsin v Purdue
ATS - WISCONSIN +3 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)

Cal Poly SLO v Cal Irvine
ATS - CAL IRVINE +6 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ Sportingbet)

Seton Hall v South Florida
ATS - USF +2 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Sportsbet)

Oklahoma State v Baylor
ATS - OKALAHOMA ST +14 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Centrebet)

Princeton v Columbia
ATS - PRINCETON -1 (x1) WIN
(1.2u @ 1.86 @ Pinnacle)

South Alabama v Troy
ATS - TROY -1.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Duke v Clemson
ATS - DUKE -5.5 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Sunday, January 15

NFL 2012

NFL: 38-35-4 (-2.53u @ 52%)

NFL PLAYOFFS


New Orleans Saints At San Francisco 49ers
ATS - 49ers +3.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)

Denver Broncos At New England Patriots
ATS - BRONCOS +14 (x1) LOSS
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)

Houston Texans At Baltimore Ravens
ATS - RAVENS -7.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

New York Giants At Green Bay Packers
ATS - PACKERS -7 (x2) LOSS
(2.40u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)

NBA 2012

NBA: 29-31-5 (-1.14u @ 48.3%)

Philadelphia 76ers At Washington Wizards
1ST H - 76ERS -3.5 (x1.5) WIN

Sixers and Wizards play each other on b2b games. Phili won last night by 31! Sure Washington will be looking to bounce back but quite frankly they just don't have the personal to match the 76ers! Away or not this will be a Sixers win. They start where they left off.
(1.75u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Golden State Warriors At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - WARRIORS -2.5 (x1.5) LOSS
Added
2ND H - WARRIORS -6 (x2) WIN
(Warriors down 20 @ half. Game line Warriors +14)

After some great performances at home the Warriors will be hungry for their first win on the road. They may just catch the Charlotte at the right time. The Bobcats are playing the 3rd of a b2b2b and were just humiliated at home by the Pistons last night! Charlotte has lost 6 in a row and are 2-10 for the season with 5 loses at home!

This could be a long year for MJ and his Bobcats! While the Warriors haven't set the world on fire, they have impressed on occasions under new Coach Mark Jackson. They have picked up defensively and haven't been healthy all year, With Curry likely to miss again. But Ellis and Lee are doing a great job lifting this team. I see the Warriors win this well and gaining some confidence.
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.4u @1.83 @ Pinnacle)
New Orleans Hornets At Memphis Grizzlies
1ST Q - HORNETS +3.5 (x1) WIN

Same as yesterday, Rolling with the Hornets again here to start well. They are now 10-1 in the opener so will play it again grabbing 3.5pts against a Memphis team that has had it's issues this season.
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Saturday, January 14

NBA 2012

NBA: 27-29-5 (-0.47u @ 48.2%)


Chicago Bulls At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS +2.5 (x1.5) LOSS

Rolling with the Celtics tonight to get that home win after 2 losses in a row. The Bulls may get Rose back tonight but he won't be 100% and they are still missing Hamilton. This is simply a great spot for the Celtics! Backs against the wall, desperate for a win and are dogs at home! Celtics win this SU!

(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)

Minnesota Timberwolves At New Orleans Hornets
1st Q - HORNETS +0.5 (x1) WIN

Minnesota have been hot and very cold, which Wolves side will turn up here in New Orleans? They have been slow starters generally, fighting back from large defecate's in 2nd halves. That's a problem this new look Hornets team hasn't had. They are 9-1 in opening quarters this season! They get it done again!

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Miami Heat At Denver Nuggets Markets
ATS - HEAT -3 (x1) LOSS

Miami have lost 2 in row! Both in overtime! Now with Wade still hurting and in doubt they travel to Denver to try and snap this skid! If Wade is missing, alot more of the offense will be focused on LBJ which is fine! Its hard to find a good match for James as he tends to float between the 3 and the 4. Lawson and Gallinari both not 100% will hurt the high scoring Nuggets.

This is purely a gut feel here, Miami will be desperate to put a stop to this losing thing and get it done here tonight!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Added
Cleveland @ LA Lakers
1st H - LAKERS -6 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnaxle)

Friday, January 13

NBA 2012

NBA: 26-28-5 (-1.45u @ 48.1%)

Detroit Pistons @ Milwaukee Bucks
1st H - BUCKS -4.5 (x2) WIN


The Bucks and Pistons are heading in completely different directions. With Milwaukee just breaking a 5 game losing streak, and in turn winning all 3 at home this season. The Bucks are clearly a different animal at home than on the road where they are 0-6 on the season. It also helps to have the big Aussie Bogut back in the line up. Not only does he bring a presence on both offense and especially defense but he allows Gooden to return to the bench and come on with the second unit.

The Pistons are a mess to put it nicely! They are on their own 5 game skid and their efforts of late have been lacking. Still without some key personal due to injury and with young players Knight and Monroe finding their feet as leaders of this group, this could be a testing time for the Pistons and their fans.

Just can't see Detroit turning it around against a rejuvenated Bucks team fresh off a win, with their Star centre back in uniform and at home. Also Milwaukee has been fantastic starters even in their recent losing streak, 2nd to only Miami in terms of 1st H performances. Detroit are awful in this category. Bucks to put this one away early!

(2.25u @ 1.9 @ Pinnacle)

Added:

Cleveland @ Pheonix
2nd H - SUNS -5.5 (x1) LOSS
(Suns down 8 @ half. Game line SUNS +2.5)
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, January 12

NBA 2012

NBA: 24-26-5 (-1.77u @ 48%)

Dallas Mavericks At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS -5 (x1) LOSS

The Mavs travel to Boston on the 2nd of a b2b to face a well rested Celtics team that has had the last 4 days off! This is almost unheard of in this shortened schedule. The importance of this lay off cannot be underestimated. Especially for a vet team like the Celtics. Add to that the fact another vet team is on b2b in the Mavs today.

Boston were embarrassed in their last game by the Pacers and have had plenty of time to think about it. Celtics get back to their winning ways at home today!

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Washington Wizards At Chicago Bulls
ATS - WIZARDS +11.5 (x1) LOSS

Terrible spot for the Bulls tonight. As they play the 3rd of a b2b2b and 5th game in 7 nights. Also news just in is Rose is doubtful! Massive hole Qato fill as he is the general and quite frankly one of the best players in the league! The Wizards finally got that first win! Huge bode of confidence for this young group. They also playing 2nd of a b2b but coming off a high they will carry this energy into tonights clash! Wall will have a field day against a Rose less Chicago. Bulls still win but a lot of points to cover here. Wizards play tough and keep it under 10.

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Los Angeles Lakers At Utah Jazz
1st Q - LAKERS (x1) WIN

The Lakers and Kobe in particular are in awesome form right now. With Kobe hitting 48 last night against the Suns. Add that to his 39 against the Warriors earlier and those are the two highest scores by anyone so far this season! Whats worse for the Jazz is Kobe has hit 40+ 6 times against the Jazz and has an avg of 36 in his last 5 games. He quickly stated after last nights game he was "already looking forward to it" when asked about backing up tonight in Utah. Look for Bryants hot hand to roll over into this one.

While Gasol and Bynum had relatively average nights I expect this to change here against Utah! Big Al isn't the best defender in the league and I expect LA to go through these two big men early and unsettle the Jazz big man. Look for the Lakers and Kobe to start as they finished last night here in this one!

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Adding:
Miami Heat At Los Angeles Clippers
2nd H - CLIPPERS (x1.5) WIN
Clippers down 5 @ the half. game line CLIPPERS +5
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ pinnacle)

Wednesday, January 11

NBA 2012

NBA: 22-26-5 (-4.30u @ 45.8%)

Sacramento Kings At Philadelphia 76ers
1st H - 76ERS -5 (x1) WIN

The 76ers are HOT right now! Playing great ball, full of confidence, plenty of depth and still at home! The Kings are the complete opposite! Plain and simple here, But as the 76ers are on b2b and in the middle of a b2b2b with NY up next I see them putting this one away early and then rest up for the big trip to the Garden!

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Houston Rockets At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - ROCKETS -2.5 (x1.5) WIN



Houston are still chasing their first win on the road and after a little rest and Lowry back will be switched on and desperate to chalk it up here in Charlotte! Martin has been I'll and is a game time decision which isn't ideal. The Bobcats are coming off a tough match against NY which went down to the wire! Possible let down here with this being the 2nd of a b2b and the 4th game in 5 days for the Cats! Fatigue wins out here. Rockets cover!

(1.7u @ 1.89 @ Pinnacle)

Tuesday, January 10

NCAA FOOTBALL

NCAAF YTD: 20-20-2 (-3.96u @ 50%)

BOWL MATCHES:

Temple @ Wyoming
ATS - TEMPLE -7 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Washington At Baylor
ATS - BAYLOR -9.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Wisconsin At Oregon
ATS. - WISCONSIN +5 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)

Michigan At Virginia Tech
ATS - MICHIGAN -2.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
Alabama At LSU
ATS - ALABAMA -2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Monday, January 9

NBA 2012

NBA: 21-26-4 (-5.30u @ 44.7%)

Atlanta Hawks At New Jersey Nets
ATS - HAWKS -5 (x3) PUSH

New Jersey hosts the Hawks for the 2nd time and plays them for the 3rd time already this season! The 1st was a 30pt blow out in NJ where the line was 4, followed up by a 7pt loss in Atlanta where the line was 11.5. The Hawks really struggled in that on but still won quite easily. Now the Line is just 5?

I must be missing something here? sure the Hawks have faced a tough schedule thus far. But have had been outstanding! Splitting games 1-1 with the Bulls and Miami. They have actually had a days rest since beating the Bobcats. New Jersey was blown away early in it's last game against Miami minus Wade and managed to get the margin back to just 11! The Nets are 2-7 and of those 7 losses just 2 have been inside double figures. A 6pt loss in their opener against the Wizards and the 7pt loss to Atlanta in their 2nd meeting.

Just not sure why I'm expected to believe their is any improvement in the Nets in this one? The Hawks are simply more talented and will cover this one as the Nets loss by double digits again!

(3.35u @ 1.89 @ Pinnacle)

Adding:

Indiana Pacers At Philadelphia 76ers
ATS - 76ERS -4.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 57-51-1 (+1.11u @ 52.8%)

WEEK 9

Harvard v Fordham
ATS - FORDHAM +12 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Sportsbet)

Tulsa v Houston
ATS - HOUSTON +2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle

Saint Louis v Dayton
ATS - ST LOUIS -3.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Weber State v Eastern Washington
ATS - WEBER ST +3.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Missouri v Kansas State
ML - KANSAS ST (x1) WIN
(1.0u @ 2.00 @ Sportingbet)

Loyola Marymount v San Diego
ATS - LOYOLA MARYMOUNT -2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.86 @ Pinnacle)

Arizona v USC
ATS -ARIZONA +2 (x1) WIN
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)

Va Commonwealth v Drexel
ATS - DREXEL +2 (x1) WIN
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)

NBA 2012

San Antonio Spurs At Oklahoma City Thunder
1st H - THUNDER -3 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Memphis Grizzlies At Los Angeles Lakers
ATS - LAKERS -7 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)

Sorry no time for write ups today...

Sunday, January 8

NFL 2012

NFL: 36-33-4 (-1.85u @ 52.2%)

NFL PLAYOFFS

Cincinnati Bengals At Houston Texans
ATS - TEXANS -4 (x1)WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Detroit Lions At New Orleans Saints
ATS - LIONS +10.5 (x1)LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportingbet)

Atlanta Falcons At New York Giants
ATS - FALCONS +3 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

Pittsburgh Steelers At Denver Broncos
ATS - BRONCOS +9 (x1) WIN
(1.3u @ 1.81 @ Pinnacle)

NBA 2012

Miami Heat At New Jersey Nets
1st H - HEAT -4 (x2) WIN

Rolling with Miami tonight against the Nets in New Jersey. The Nets are on b2b after getting their 1st win of the season in Toronto. This would be a huge relief and the players and coaches would have enjoyed the moment. Now they return straight home to face the Heat on a days rest with possible 2 big inclusions. Both James and Wade are game time decisions but should play. Miami will once again start well and lead by plenty at the half.

(2.2u @ 1.9 @ Sportsbet)

ADDING:

Oklahoma City Thunder At Houston Rockets
1st H - THUNDER -2 (x1) PUSH
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

Milwaukee Bucks At Los Angeles Clippers
ATS - CLIPPERS -9.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Saturday, January 7

NBA 2012

NBA: 18-20-2 (-2.15u @ 47.4%)

New Jersey Nets At Toronto Raptors
1st H - RAPTORS -3 (x1.5) LOSS

Toronto are looking for 3 wins in a row! They are at home against the struggling Nets. New Jersey is yet to win a game and has been awful all-round. With Lopez still out the Nets have had to suit up minus Williams and Humphries also. These two are listed as probable for tonight's game but you would have to think they won't be 100% if they do.

Toronto has been a surprisingly strong starting team. Often taking a lead into the main break. While New Jersey are yet to lead after the first 2 quarters. With most games being all but over at this point. The Nets are playing their 2nd on the road with Miami back at home tomorrow. I bet their injured stars are hanging to get home. While the Raptors have been at home for he past 4 days. Toronto to start well again here and continue New Jerseys terrible start to the year.

(1.65u @ 1.90 @ Sportsbet)

New York Knicks At Washington Wizards
1st Q - KNICKS -1.5 (x1) LOSS

Rolling with the Knicks to come out with a bang tonight against the winless Wizards. New York have had a terrible start to the year going 2-4, and were awful in their last 2 home games against the Bobcats and Toronto. Sure the had added some new pieces and it was going to take some time to all fit but c'mon....

A few home truths were told in the locker room after their loss to Charlotte, with Melo calling his team out. The Coach and Chandler also made it clear that these type of performances were unacceptable. Stoudamire will be better for the run and I expect the real New York to stand up a pour on plenty of points here against a Wizards team that is allowing almost 100pts against. Knicks make a statement in the 1st!

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)

Indiana Pacers At Boston Celtics
ATS - CELTICS -5.5 (x1) LOSS

I'm sticking with the Celtics to get the job done against Indiana at home tonight. Boston have won 4 in a row, but what's most important for this team is they are at home and rested. They also look to regain Allen which makes them also healthy. Indiana look lost on the road and will be playing their 4th in a row with their only win against the Nets.

This is a great scheduling spot for the Celtics as the will enjoy 4 days off after this match. So expect nothing to be left out on the court! While the Pacers will be keen to return home where they will have the Bobcats waiting on a b2b. With that in mind, I wouldn't be surprised to see reduced minutes for some of these Pacers tonight. Boston will prove good at home and pull away for a comfortable win.

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

ADDED:

2nd H - BOBCATS -0.5 (x1) LOSS
(BOBCATS down 5 @ half. Game line BOBCATS +4.5)
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

2nd H - KNICKS -4.5 (x1) LOSS
(KNICKS down 1 @ half. Game line KNICKS -3.5)
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)

Thursday, January 5

NBA 2012

NBA: 17-19-2 (-2.45u @ 47.2%)

Dallas Mavericks At San Antonio Spurs &
Los Angeles Lakers At Portland Trail Blazers

DOUBLE - MAVS +8 / LAKERS +9 (x1) LOSS

Taking a double today as I like both these teams chances of winning outright in what I expect to be tight games.

Dallas have started to hit their straps winning their last 2, while The Spurs have won all 4 games at home. Both are on b2b games with Dallas taking care of Phoenix and San Antonio struggled against the Warriors. While they managed to get a win minus Manu last night I think 2nd up will be a struggle. This is a big Texas Showdown and I expect the defending Champs to push this one right to the end and may even win outright. Happy with the Points!

2nd game of my double I'm taking the Lakers on the road against the Blazers. LA are a completely different team with a fit and dominant Bynum in the form he is in! It takes the pressure off both Kobe and Gasol offensively and Andrew is clearly the big presence on the defensive end! While the Lakers are yet to win on the road I really like what I see. Both teams have had a days rest so I'm expecting a tight scrap. Lakers keep it tight and might even win! Taking the points.

(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)
*5pt teaser


ADDED:
Milwaukee @ Sacramento
2nd H - KINGS -3.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
(Kings down 21 @ half. Game line Kings +17.5)

NBA 2012

NBA: 16-18-2 (-1.26u @ 47%)

Memphis Grizzlies At Minnesota Timberwolves
ATS - TIMBERWOLVES -4 (x2) LOSS


All aboard the TWolves train! Just like the Clippers last year this young group are exciting and are heading in the right direction! You have to be impressed with the way they have started the season. While they have had a favorable schedule only traveling once so far in 6 games, take a look at the teams they have come up against. Close losses to OKC & Miami, then wins over Dallas & The Spurs! That's good in anyone's language.

The TWolves have had the luxury of staying at home since their one road loss in Milwaukee back on the 27/12! they were also rested yesterday. Over to the Grizzles. They have been woeful on the road, losing to the Spurs and most recently they were embarrassed at Chicago by 40pts just 4 nights ago! Memphis are on b2b and playing 3 in 4 days here also.

If that wasn't bad enough news out is Randolph will miss up to 6 weeks! This really hurts, especially against K.Love. The Wolves are at home playing great basketball and are full of confidence. They get it down tonight and cover!

(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

Indiana Pacers At Miami Heat
1st H - HEAT -4 (x1) WIN

Miami just had their unbeaten record taken away last game with an upset loss against the Hawks at home! Wade was well below par and as a unit they were going through the motions expecting it all just to happen. With a days rest and I suspect a solid workout, I expect the Heat to be fired up and out to prove a point here at home tonight.

Bad news for Indiana is they just get the Heat at the wrong time, coming off a loss. While I do like the Pacers as a team and expect them to be amongst the playoffs once again they will be blown away early here tonight. Indiana's 4-1 record looks impressive but who have they beaten? Toronto, Cleveland, New Jersey and have 1-1 split with Detroit! Hardly anything to brag about! They get a huge step up in class here!

Miami are once again one of the best starting teams! They tend to get out to big leads early and get some rest into their stars. While I expect the Pacers to tough I see this trend continuing with the bitter taste of a loss fresh in Miami's minds. The Heat catch the Pacers off guard and lead well at the main change!

(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)
*brought 1/2 point to bring down to 2 even buckets

Wednesday, January 4

NBA 2012

NBA: 15-17-1 (-0.54u @ 46.9%)

Portland Trail Blazers At Oklahoma City Thunder
1st H - THUNDER -2 (x1) PUSH

Sticking with the Thunder to bounce back tonight at home! The Thunder are playing 3rd game in 4 days and are on a b2b returning hem from a loss to the Mavs. However they are fantastic starters to games and will be dirty dropping last night game. On the flip side Portland has not started games as well as they would like, only leading at the main change in one of their games this season. I expect KD and his troops to come out all guns blazing against Portland excuse the pun.

(1.2u @ 1.86 @ Pinnacle)
*Brought 1/2 a point to make it an even bucket

Milwaukee Bucks At Utah Jazz
1st Q - BUCKS (x1.5) LOSS



On Milwalkee here to start well in Utah! The Bucks are backing up from a terrible last quarter collapse against the Nuggets last night. While Utah are also on a b2b after defeating the Hornets last night at home. This is also Utahs 4th game in 5 days!

Milwaukee are fantastic starters to games! They are a perfect 4-0 in 1st quarter thus far, while Utah are the exact opposite! The Jazz are yet to be in front at the end of the opener. This was a huge issue for them last season and was one of my big fades of the season! Much like OKC, I like the Bucks to bounce back from last nights disappointment and start well here in Utah!

(1.75u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)


ADDING:

Atlanta @ Chicago
2nd H - BULLS -10 (x1) WIN
(Bulls down 12 @ 1/2. Game line BULLS +2)
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)

Tuesday, January 3

NBA 2012

NBA: 14-17-0 (-2.45u @ 45.2%)

Indiana Pacers At New Jersey Nets
ATS - PACERS -5 (x2) WIN


Taking Indiana tonight on the road in New Jersey! Huge fade on the Nets who are have just finished a 3 game road trip, are playing 3rd in 4 days and are on their 2nd of a b2b after getting blown away by the Cavs! It doesn't take a genius to see this team is in a hole right now! The Nets roster was thin to begin with this season and now with Lopez missing they lack and real presence in the middle.

The Pacers are playing their 2nd of a 4 game road trip and are coming off a disappointing loss to the Pistons. Before that though started the season 3-0. I like them to get back to their winning ways tonight! Indiana are rested and have obvious size advantage with Hibberd, West and Hansborough! This is my big play for the night and I see the Pacers winning big!

(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Milwaukee Bucks At Denver Nuggets
ATS - BUCKS +5 (x1) PUSH

Once again this is another huge fade spot! This time the Nuggets! Denver are on b2b2b games here coming off 2 tough matches against the Lakers and will be playing their 5th game in 6 days! What a way to start the season! While the Bucks are well rested. Playing just their 3rd game of the season and their 2nd in 6 days.

Denver based their game on the back of pace against the Lakers with Lawson in particular dominant against 37 year old Fisher. Tonight will be tougher for him against the much younger and quicker Jennings and a tough defensive unit in general. I like the fresher Bucks to be tough to shake tonight and may win outright! Taking the Bucks with the points!

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Monday, January 2

NCAA HOOPS

NCAAB: 54-48-1 (+0.96 @ 52.9%)

WEEK 8

Austin Peay v Eastern Kentucky
ATS - AUSTIN PEAY -1 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Sportsbet)

Vanderbilt v Marquette
ATS - VANDERBILT +8 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

BYU v Saint Marys CA
ATS - BYU +4 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

IPFW v North Dakota State
ATS - NTH DAKOTA ST -12 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Gonzaga v Xavier
ATS - XAVIER -2.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.89 @ Pinnacle)

Delaware v NC Wilmington
ATS - NC WILMINGTON -3 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.90 @ Sportsbet)

NBA 2012

NBA: 12-16-0 (-4.99u @ 42.9%)

Boston Celtics At Washington Wizards
1st H - CELTICS -3.5 (x1.5) WIN

Rolling with Boston on the road today in Washington. The Celtics welcomed back their leader Paul Pierce last game and more importantly got their first win of the season! Pierce makes a huge difference to this team as he basically allows everyone else to just play their rolls. Heis the go to man and can create at anytime, either for himself or setting up one of his teammates.

Washington is still winless after 3 games and is really struggling on offense. A match up against this Celtics team won't help matters at all!I see the Celtics going on with it now. That 1st win will give this very solid group all the confidence in the world and expect them to come out strong against a struggling Wizards outfit!

(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

ADDING
New Orleans @ Sacramento
ATS - HORNETS +4 (x1) LOSS

Adding the Hornets today playing at Sacramento. Word is Cousins has demanded a trade and will not play tonight! On top of this the Kings are on the 2nd of a b2b after being embarrassed last night against the Knicks and are playing their 3rd in 4 days! Tough spot for this unsettled young team!

While Gordon is still doubtful to play tonight I still like the Hornets to grind out a win here. Happy to take the points

(1.1u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)


Added:
2nd H - LAKERS pk (x1) WIN
(Lakers down 11 @ half. Game line is LAKERS +11)

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Sunday, January 1

NFL WEEK 17

NFL: 35-30-4 (-0.65u @ 53.9%)

WEEK 17



San Francisco 49ers At St. Louis Rams
1st H - 49ers -6.5 (x2) WIN
(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)

Detroit Lions At Green Bay Packers
ATS - LIONS -4.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
ATS. - STEELERS -6.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Dallas Cowboys At New York Giants
ML - COWBOYS (x1.5) LOSS
(1.0u @ 2.55 @ Pinnacle)

NBA 2012

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers
2nd H - LAKERS -3 (x1) LOSS
(LAKERS up by 1 @ half so game line is Lakers -4)

Denver are playing 3rd in 4 nights While Lakers have been settled at home last 2 games which have been blow outs! Lakers have also finished games strongly here @ Staples.

(1.05u @ 1.98 @ Pinnacle)

Phoenix Suns At Oklahoma City Thunder
1st H - THUNDER -7 (x1) WIN

Phoenix are on b2b and coming of a big road win last night! Let down spot here also playing 3rd in 4 days. Very tough on older teams as we have seen with the Celtics and Spurs. This Suns team is no where near in the same category as these two teams. Huge fatigue fade tonight for the Suns!

The Thunder have had 2 days rest! Almost unheard of in this 66 game season! They are in fine touch an have a 3-0 record. I expect OKC to put this one beyond doubt early. The Thunder have a potential look ahead game with Dallas coming up so 1st H is my bet!

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

New York Knicks At Sacramento Kings
ATS - KINGS +1.5 (x1) LOSS


New York is playing it's last of this road trip and will be glad to return home after lossing badly in it's first 2 road games to Golden State and the Lakers. Big news is Stoudamire will miss this match so this puts enormous pressure on Chandler who has been less than impressive so far for his new team. I also expect Melo to take a lot more shots which may not be a good thing!

The Kings have been ok going 1-2 but against solid opponents! This is a young group and are still learning to play as a team. I like this young group to grab a home win against a banged up NY team on it's 3rd road game!

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

ADDING:
Atlanta Hawks At Houston Rockets
ML - ROCKETS (x1) WIN

I know Houston are playing b2b2b games hers but they have been very well managed as far as minutes go. Also they are a relatively young side. I am more fading the Hawks tonight as the play their 2nd of a b2b on the road and this is their 4th game in 5 days! This is a massive fatigue spot for the Hawks. After watching them Yesterday struggle to put away the Nets @ home, I can't see them getting through this one on the road against a dangerous Houston side! Rockets get the win tonight!

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)