Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, January 1

NBA 2012

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers
2nd H - LAKERS -3 (x1) LOSS
(LAKERS up by 1 @ half so game line is Lakers -4)

Denver are playing 3rd in 4 nights While Lakers have been settled at home last 2 games which have been blow outs! Lakers have also finished games strongly here @ Staples.

(1.05u @ 1.98 @ Pinnacle)

Phoenix Suns At Oklahoma City Thunder
1st H - THUNDER -7 (x1) WIN

Phoenix are on b2b and coming of a big road win last night! Let down spot here also playing 3rd in 4 days. Very tough on older teams as we have seen with the Celtics and Spurs. This Suns team is no where near in the same category as these two teams. Huge fatigue fade tonight for the Suns!

The Thunder have had 2 days rest! Almost unheard of in this 66 game season! They are in fine touch an have a 3-0 record. I expect OKC to put this one beyond doubt early. The Thunder have a potential look ahead game with Dallas coming up so 1st H is my bet!

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

New York Knicks At Sacramento Kings
ATS - KINGS +1.5 (x1) LOSS


New York is playing it's last of this road trip and will be glad to return home after lossing badly in it's first 2 road games to Golden State and the Lakers. Big news is Stoudamire will miss this match so this puts enormous pressure on Chandler who has been less than impressive so far for his new team. I also expect Melo to take a lot more shots which may not be a good thing!

The Kings have been ok going 1-2 but against solid opponents! This is a young group and are still learning to play as a team. I like this young group to grab a home win against a banged up NY team on it's 3rd road game!

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

ADDING:
Atlanta Hawks At Houston Rockets
ML - ROCKETS (x1) WIN

I know Houston are playing b2b2b games hers but they have been very well managed as far as minutes go. Also they are a relatively young side. I am more fading the Hawks tonight as the play their 2nd of a b2b on the road and this is their 4th game in 5 days! This is a massive fatigue spot for the Hawks. After watching them Yesterday struggle to put away the Nets @ home, I can't see them getting through this one on the road against a dangerous Houston side! Rockets get the win tonight!

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)
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