Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, July 31

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - MAGPIES -23.5 (x3) LOSS
Adding
2ND H - MAGPIES -28.5 (x5) (Game line -16.5) WINNER

(3.3u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)
(5.55u @ 1.9 @ Sportingbet)

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - RABBITOHS +15.5 (x1) WINNER

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - WARRIORS -5.5 (x1) WINNER

(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)

Saturday, July 30

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST Q - SAINTS -10.5 (x4) WINNER
ATS - SAINTS -41.5 (x2) LOSS

(4.4u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - CATS -23.5 (x2) WINNER
ATS - CAT-45.5 (x3) WINNER

(2.15u @ 1.94 @ Sportsbet)
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - EAGLES -6.5 (x3) WINNER

(3.65u @ 1.82 @ Centrebet)

Monday, July 18

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

EXOTIC - SHARKS @ DRAGONS - 1ST TRY AFTER 8min (x1)

The Sharks have been one of the form teams in the past month but this is a huge test. The Dragons will be bolstered by the return of their rep players as will the Sharks with arguably the player of the comp Paul Gallen. Will the Sharks be good enough? I don't think so however I expect a huge effort defensively from both parties and am betting on a try less opening 8 minutes.

(1.25u @ 1.80 @ Sportbet)

Sunday, July 17

WEEKLY MULTI

WEEKLY MULTI

After having success on my last two multi's I see one I like today involving both codes all giving up a start.

AFL - ATS - CATS -39.5
AFL - ATS - BULLDOGS -17.5
NRL - ATS - STORM -3.5

Outlaying 2.55 units for a big return of x15 units!

(2.55 @ 6.89 @ Centrebet)

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - STORM -4 (x2)


REVENGE, REVENGE, REVENGE!!!

The Melbourne Storm have been outstanding this season, they haven't lost too many games. But one they did drop was earlier in the year to the Raiders down in Melbourne! This professional outfit will have that game in the back of their minds when they travel to the nationals Capital. They will be bolstered by the returning of their rep players and will be far to strong for the struggling Raiders here.

Canberra does receive a boost with Dugan back in the run on side but still have too many holes with Leroy-Lars and Campese still missing through injury. Melbourne's defense and Canberra's lack their of will prove the difference here. The Raiders have conceded almost twice as many points as the Storm in 2011! Enough said! look for Slater, Cronk and Smith to pick holes in the Raiders line and ring up a big score here. Storm win well!

(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - CATS -21.5 (x3)
ATS - CATS -39.5 (x2)
ADDING:
2ND H - CATS -19.5 (x5) (GAME LINE -21.5)

After starting the season 13-0 the Cats now face the possibility of dropping 3 in a row! But against the Lions..... Not likely, even @ the Gabba.

Geelong will welcome back their young leader Joel Selwood this week after serving his time as well as Mackie and Hawkins. I expect Selwood to be like a caged animal just release her today and Hawk will be hungry also, wanting to claim his spot in the best 22. They lose Ottens through suspension and Wojo, Duncan and Menzel take a spell. The Cats continue this rotation policy, whether it works only time will tell, but I feel they need to settle their line up from this point on. The Lions gain some pretty important players this week with Clark and Staker back. Their side looks ok on paper in fact.

The one area that does concern me a little is the fact the Cats entre thus game with one recognized ruck man in young Vardy. Hawkins will give him a breather but it looks like Scott has put the challenge to his young ruckman to carry the load for most of the day. While he does show a lot of potential this will be a big ask against Clark and the Berger. Even so the Cats look far more superior in all other areas on the ground.

Geelong has a very daunting record against these Lions having belted them on a number of occasions and on the back of 2 loses I expect them to be hungry for a big kill! Cats are terrific starters and I expect this one to be out of the Lions reach early and comfortably cover the line. Cats by 10 goals!

(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(5.7u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x2)

Fremantle travel down to Sydney to take on the Swans @ the SCG today still without arguably their best 2 players in Sandilands and Mundy. They are coming off the bye which hasn't played well for most this season and well we know how well they travel....

The Swans got a much needed win last week even if it was against the Suns minus G.Ablett. But a win is a win and it give the group confidence moving forward. The big advantage the Swans have here is in the ruck. Big Mummy should prove to good and will be impossible for the Dockers to contain. Fremantle are just not the same without Sandilands and the Swans will pounce! With home ground advantage and the fact the Dockers havent beaten a decent side on the road in over 12 months, Sydney will get the points by 2-3 goals.

(1.75u @ 2.15 @ Sportingbet)

Saturday, July 16

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - EAGLES +5.5 (x3)


EAGLES RUCK DUO TO PROVE THE DIFFERENCE TONIGHT

The Eagles have won 5 in a row! in their last two matches they have beaten Geelong @ home and Carlton in Melbourne at this very venue. besides Collingwood are the form side right now! While the Saints have found the way to win again. They have won their past 2 against the Kangaroos and the Power but clearly still have a lot of work to do.

Daniel Kerr will be missing from what is otherwise a full strength Eagles outfit with the inclusions of Lynch and Waters this week. The Saints are unchanged and finally look settled. For me the big Advantage the Eagle have is their pure size! I'm not sure how McEvoy will go trying to contain the inform ruck duo Cox and Nic Nat? and with the inclusion of Lynch the Saints back have will be tested against Kennedy, Darling and Q! I still have question marks over Zac Dawson and think he may be exposed here tonight.

Bottom line the Saints while are doing the right things and beginning to win again just get the inform Eagles at the wrong time. Their confidence will be through the roof after knocking off both Geelong and Carlton and having won here not that long ago will hold no fears doing it again. The Bookies have this one wrong starting St.Kilda favourites. Eagles to win and happy to take a little start in case we have a close one.
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - MAGPIES -36.5 (x2)

COLLINGWOOD HAS ALL THE ANSWERS AGAINST THE INJURIED BLUES!

Carlton v Collingwood on Saturday afternoon @ the MCG! Big crowd expected for what most would hope to be a close encounter..... Not today.

The Blues have had a breakout season, No question but even at the best they are still a way back from the Magpies. Today they tackle the Premiers without a number of key personnel. I have expressed my concern about Carlton's lack of height all year and now they enter this blockbuster without Jamison, Waite, Hampson, White and Carrazzo! the first two are the big ones as these guys play a huge part of how this team operates.

The Pies are still without Dawes and Didak and upon recent events now will be missing Shaw. But the way this team has come back from their bye is scary! they are doing as they please and with  the likes of Swan, Pendelbury, Thomas, Cloke, Davis and Ball all in career best form the signs are ominous for the injured Blues! For me the Pies win easily 40+ and hand Carlton its 3rd loss in 4 games today.

(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Friday, July 15

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - SUNS (x3)
ATS - SUNS +40.5 (x2)

The Suns will play back 2 back games in QLD for the 1st time this year and I think this will be a blessing for this young group. We all know the interstate teams do it tougher than the Melbourne based teams simply with the amount of travel week in week out. You just feel with this group of kids it is taking it's toll. McKenna will be loving that fact they don't fly interstate this week and have a further 2 games in QLD following this one as well.

The big question mark will be weather G.Ablett will play and if so how much game time will he play. Having watched him closely during his Geelong days I'm confident he will play a blinder! The young Suns will view this game as one they can realistly win! The Tigers have been awefulof late! Fell away against the Bombers and were smashed by the Blues! This line is far to big!

Richmond actually won their 1st quarter last week, just the second time for 2011! While the Suns have won just 4, this has actually been their best performing quarter all year! I see them as a real chance to lead after the opener and the odds on offer of 4.75 are to good to pass up on. And as I stated earlier 40+ is too big a line for the struggling Tigers here in QLD. The young Suns to turn up here today and get the Jump on the Tigers under the sun in QLD! They also stay under the points offered and may even win this one!

(0.8u @ 4.75 @ Sportingbet)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

DOUBLE - BRONCOS ML / SEA EAGLES ML (x2)

Keeping it quite simple here with this one. The Broncos will be far to strong for the very disappointing Titans outfit of 2011! And Manly at Brookvale are almost unbeatable at the moment. Doubling these two together gets us a nice 1.85. Happy to take bothe these form sides to continue their winning form and win outright.

(2.35u @ 1.85 @ CENTREBET)

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - WARRIORS -5.5 (x1)

NZ got their season back on track last week and will take care of the struggling Bulldogs here at home tonight. The Warriors definatley play better at mt Smart and will be keen to carry on their good form. The Bulldogs will have stand in coach Dymock here for his first crack @ first grade after the resignation of Moore only yesterday. I don't see how the Dogs can get their head around this and prepare for the Warriors. They also have to take the field minus their spiritual leader Ennis. Warriors to cover here.

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Friday, July 8

Sunday, July 3

WEEKLY MULTI

WEEKLY MULTI

AFL - ATS - POWER +20.5
AFL - ATS - MAGPIES -20.5
AFL - ML - SAINTS

Outlaying x2 units to win x10

Laying off on final leg
ML - KANGAROOS (x2.5)

This covers original outlay so no loss and a free hit @ +7.5u with the Saints win

(2.2u @ 5.63 @ Centrebet)
(2.5u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)

Saturday, July 2

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - MAGPIES -22.5 (x3)

I thunk we can all acknowledge the performance by the Hawks thus far with the amount of players missing. This week the get Buddy back but lose Rioli, Lewis and Sewell... Collingwood get a boost with Jolly back! They are still the bench mark and although the Hawks have done well they will fall short this weekend. Literally down back. They will not be able to contain Cloke and Dawes. Besides Collingwoods win last week by 6 pts the next closest game is 28pts. I expect the Magies to bounce back from an average performance last week to win and cover against a depleted Hawthorn outfit.

(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST H - CATS -21.5 (x2)
2ND H - CATS -23.5 (x2)

Cats are flying and love playing under the roof. The Bombers just cannot win a game right now and have been hit with injuries once again while Geelong welcomes back Bartel, Kelly, Ottens, J.Hunt, Vardy and Stokes! You wonder weather the players will be out to stick it to Bomber Thompson? Either way the Cats have to many weapons and on a fast track I expect them to bounce out of the Blocks and put this one away early. Cats cover 1st half.

(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST Q - BLUES -6.5 (x4)
ATS - BLUES -24.5 (x3)

I expect Carlton to bounce back from last weeks lose to at the hands of the Eagles here today @ the MCG. They lose Jamison which is a big loss but with the Inclusions of Waite, Laidler, White and Robinson they look a better side then last week. White and Laidler will help cover Jamison down back while Waite will offer a good target up forward. Robinson is also important as he brings energy and desperation.

Richmond has won just one first quarter all year! While the Blues are generally good starters. I expect Carlton to make a statement early today. The Blues have dominated the Tigers in recent meetings. I see this one around the 40 point mark as Richmond draws the Blues coming off a loss and with a point to prove.

(4.4u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

Friday, July 1

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ML - WBULLDOGS (x2)

For me this one looks pretty simple. Melbourne have not won @ Etihad in their last 9 attempts. All their wins bar one(@ Gabba over Gold Coast)have come @ the MCG. The Dogs have won 4 of their 5 wins here @ Etihad, So clearly play this ground much better. I think the bulldogs experienced players Boyd, Cooney, Cross, Griffin, Murphy and Hall will get the job done.

(1.85 @ 2.1 @ Sportsbet)