Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, July 17

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - CATS -21.5 (x3)
ATS - CATS -39.5 (x2)
ADDING:
2ND H - CATS -19.5 (x5) (GAME LINE -21.5)

After starting the season 13-0 the Cats now face the possibility of dropping 3 in a row! But against the Lions..... Not likely, even @ the Gabba.

Geelong will welcome back their young leader Joel Selwood this week after serving his time as well as Mackie and Hawkins. I expect Selwood to be like a caged animal just release her today and Hawk will be hungry also, wanting to claim his spot in the best 22. They lose Ottens through suspension and Wojo, Duncan and Menzel take a spell. The Cats continue this rotation policy, whether it works only time will tell, but I feel they need to settle their line up from this point on. The Lions gain some pretty important players this week with Clark and Staker back. Their side looks ok on paper in fact.

The one area that does concern me a little is the fact the Cats entre thus game with one recognized ruck man in young Vardy. Hawkins will give him a breather but it looks like Scott has put the challenge to his young ruckman to carry the load for most of the day. While he does show a lot of potential this will be a big ask against Clark and the Berger. Even so the Cats look far more superior in all other areas on the ground.

Geelong has a very daunting record against these Lions having belted them on a number of occasions and on the back of 2 loses I expect them to be hungry for a big kill! Cats are terrific starters and I expect this one to be out of the Lions reach early and comfortably cover the line. Cats by 10 goals!

(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(5.7u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
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