Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, July 16

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - EAGLES +5.5 (x3)


EAGLES RUCK DUO TO PROVE THE DIFFERENCE TONIGHT

The Eagles have won 5 in a row! in their last two matches they have beaten Geelong @ home and Carlton in Melbourne at this very venue. besides Collingwood are the form side right now! While the Saints have found the way to win again. They have won their past 2 against the Kangaroos and the Power but clearly still have a lot of work to do.

Daniel Kerr will be missing from what is otherwise a full strength Eagles outfit with the inclusions of Lynch and Waters this week. The Saints are unchanged and finally look settled. For me the big Advantage the Eagle have is their pure size! I'm not sure how McEvoy will go trying to contain the inform ruck duo Cox and Nic Nat? and with the inclusion of Lynch the Saints back have will be tested against Kennedy, Darling and Q! I still have question marks over Zac Dawson and think he may be exposed here tonight.

Bottom line the Saints while are doing the right things and beginning to win again just get the inform Eagles at the wrong time. Their confidence will be through the roof after knocking off both Geelong and Carlton and having won here not that long ago will hold no fears doing it again. The Bookies have this one wrong starting St.Kilda favourites. Eagles to win and happy to take a little start in case we have a close one.
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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