ATS - MAGPIES -22.5 (x3)
I thunk we can all acknowledge the performance by the Hawks thus far with the amount of players missing. This week the get Buddy back but lose Rioli, Lewis and Sewell... Collingwood get a boost with Jolly back! They are still the bench mark and although the Hawks have done well they will fall short this weekend. Literally down back. They will not be able to contain Cloke and Dawes. Besides Collingwoods win last week by 6 pts the next closest game is 28pts. I expect the Magies to bounce back from an average performance last week to win and cover against a depleted Hawthorn outfit.
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
PAST RESULTS
Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
FOLLOW TWITTER
I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
Saturday, July 2
AFL OFFICIAL PLAY
1ST H - CATS -21.5 (x2)
2ND H - CATS -23.5 (x2)
Cats are flying and love playing under the roof. The Bombers just cannot win a game right now and have been hit with injuries once again while Geelong welcomes back Bartel, Kelly, Ottens, J.Hunt, Vardy and Stokes! You wonder weather the players will be out to stick it to Bomber Thompson? Either way the Cats have to many weapons and on a fast track I expect them to bounce out of the Blocks and put this one away early. Cats cover 1st half.
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
2ND H - CATS -23.5 (x2)
Cats are flying and love playing under the roof. The Bombers just cannot win a game right now and have been hit with injuries once again while Geelong welcomes back Bartel, Kelly, Ottens, J.Hunt, Vardy and Stokes! You wonder weather the players will be out to stick it to Bomber Thompson? Either way the Cats have to many weapons and on a fast track I expect them to bounce out of the Blocks and put this one away early. Cats cover 1st half.
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2
1ST Q - BLUES -6.5 (x4)
ATS - BLUES -24.5 (x3)
I expect Carlton to bounce back from last weeks lose to at the hands of the Eagles here today @ the MCG. They lose Jamison which is a big loss but with the Inclusions of Waite, Laidler, White and Robinson they look a better side then last week. White and Laidler will help cover Jamison down back while Waite will offer a good target up forward. Robinson is also important as he brings energy and desperation.
Richmond has won just one first quarter all year! While the Blues are generally good starters. I expect Carlton to make a statement early today. The Blues have dominated the Tigers in recent meetings. I see this one around the 40 point mark as Richmond draws the Blues coming off a loss and with a point to prove.
(4.4u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
ATS - BLUES -24.5 (x3)
I expect Carlton to bounce back from last weeks lose to at the hands of the Eagles here today @ the MCG. They lose Jamison which is a big loss but with the Inclusions of Waite, Laidler, White and Robinson they look a better side then last week. White and Laidler will help cover Jamison down back while Waite will offer a good target up forward. Robinson is also important as he brings energy and desperation.
Richmond has won just one first quarter all year! While the Blues are generally good starters. I expect Carlton to make a statement early today. The Blues have dominated the Tigers in recent meetings. I see this one around the 40 point mark as Richmond draws the Blues coming off a loss and with a point to prove.
(4.4u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
Friday, July 1
AFL OFFICIAL PLAY
ML - WBULLDOGS (x2)
For me this one looks pretty simple. Melbourne have not won @ Etihad in their last 9 attempts. All their wins bar one(@ Gabba over Gold Coast)have come @ the MCG. The Dogs have won 4 of their 5 wins here @ Etihad, So clearly play this ground much better. I think the bulldogs experienced players Boyd, Cooney, Cross, Griffin, Murphy and Hall will get the job done.
(1.85 @ 2.1 @ Sportsbet)
For me this one looks pretty simple. Melbourne have not won @ Etihad in their last 9 attempts. All their wins bar one(@ Gabba over Gold Coast)have come @ the MCG. The Dogs have won 4 of their 5 wins here @ Etihad, So clearly play this ground much better. I think the bulldogs experienced players Boyd, Cooney, Cross, Griffin, Murphy and Hall will get the job done.
(1.85 @ 2.1 @ Sportsbet)
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