Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Thursday, January 5

NBA 2012

NBA: 17-19-2 (-2.45u @ 47.2%)

Dallas Mavericks At San Antonio Spurs &
Los Angeles Lakers At Portland Trail Blazers

DOUBLE - MAVS +8 / LAKERS +9 (x1) LOSS

Taking a double today as I like both these teams chances of winning outright in what I expect to be tight games.

Dallas have started to hit their straps winning their last 2, while The Spurs have won all 4 games at home. Both are on b2b games with Dallas taking care of Phoenix and San Antonio struggled against the Warriors. While they managed to get a win minus Manu last night I think 2nd up will be a struggle. This is a big Texas Showdown and I expect the defending Champs to push this one right to the end and may even win outright. Happy with the Points!

2nd game of my double I'm taking the Lakers on the road against the Blazers. LA are a completely different team with a fit and dominant Bynum in the form he is in! It takes the pressure off both Kobe and Gasol offensively and Andrew is clearly the big presence on the defensive end! While the Lakers are yet to win on the road I really like what I see. Both teams have had a days rest so I'm expecting a tight scrap. Lakers keep it tight and might even win! Taking the points.

(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)
*5pt teaser


ADDED:
Milwaukee @ Sacramento
2nd H - KINGS -3.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
(Kings down 21 @ half. Game line Kings +17.5)

NBA 2012

NBA: 16-18-2 (-1.26u @ 47%)

Memphis Grizzlies At Minnesota Timberwolves
ATS - TIMBERWOLVES -4 (x2) LOSS


All aboard the TWolves train! Just like the Clippers last year this young group are exciting and are heading in the right direction! You have to be impressed with the way they have started the season. While they have had a favorable schedule only traveling once so far in 6 games, take a look at the teams they have come up against. Close losses to OKC & Miami, then wins over Dallas & The Spurs! That's good in anyone's language.

The TWolves have had the luxury of staying at home since their one road loss in Milwaukee back on the 27/12! they were also rested yesterday. Over to the Grizzles. They have been woeful on the road, losing to the Spurs and most recently they were embarrassed at Chicago by 40pts just 4 nights ago! Memphis are on b2b and playing 3 in 4 days here also.

If that wasn't bad enough news out is Randolph will miss up to 6 weeks! This really hurts, especially against K.Love. The Wolves are at home playing great basketball and are full of confidence. They get it down tonight and cover!

(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

Indiana Pacers At Miami Heat
1st H - HEAT -4 (x1) WIN

Miami just had their unbeaten record taken away last game with an upset loss against the Hawks at home! Wade was well below par and as a unit they were going through the motions expecting it all just to happen. With a days rest and I suspect a solid workout, I expect the Heat to be fired up and out to prove a point here at home tonight.

Bad news for Indiana is they just get the Heat at the wrong time, coming off a loss. While I do like the Pacers as a team and expect them to be amongst the playoffs once again they will be blown away early here tonight. Indiana's 4-1 record looks impressive but who have they beaten? Toronto, Cleveland, New Jersey and have 1-1 split with Detroit! Hardly anything to brag about! They get a huge step up in class here!

Miami are once again one of the best starting teams! They tend to get out to big leads early and get some rest into their stars. While I expect the Pacers to tough I see this trend continuing with the bitter taste of a loss fresh in Miami's minds. The Heat catch the Pacers off guard and lead well at the main change!

(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Pinnacle)
*brought 1/2 point to bring down to 2 even buckets

Wednesday, January 4

NBA 2012

NBA: 15-17-1 (-0.54u @ 46.9%)

Portland Trail Blazers At Oklahoma City Thunder
1st H - THUNDER -2 (x1) PUSH

Sticking with the Thunder to bounce back tonight at home! The Thunder are playing 3rd game in 4 days and are on a b2b returning hem from a loss to the Mavs. However they are fantastic starters to games and will be dirty dropping last night game. On the flip side Portland has not started games as well as they would like, only leading at the main change in one of their games this season. I expect KD and his troops to come out all guns blazing against Portland excuse the pun.

(1.2u @ 1.86 @ Pinnacle)
*Brought 1/2 a point to make it an even bucket

Milwaukee Bucks At Utah Jazz
1st Q - BUCKS (x1.5) LOSS



On Milwalkee here to start well in Utah! The Bucks are backing up from a terrible last quarter collapse against the Nuggets last night. While Utah are also on a b2b after defeating the Hornets last night at home. This is also Utahs 4th game in 5 days!

Milwaukee are fantastic starters to games! They are a perfect 4-0 in 1st quarter thus far, while Utah are the exact opposite! The Jazz are yet to be in front at the end of the opener. This was a huge issue for them last season and was one of my big fades of the season! Much like OKC, I like the Bucks to bounce back from last nights disappointment and start well here in Utah!

(1.75u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)


ADDING:

Atlanta @ Chicago
2nd H - BULLS -10 (x1) WIN
(Bulls down 12 @ 1/2. Game line BULLS +2)
(1.05u @ 1.96 @ Pinnacle)

Tuesday, January 3

NBA 2012

NBA: 14-17-0 (-2.45u @ 45.2%)

Indiana Pacers At New Jersey Nets
ATS - PACERS -5 (x2) WIN


Taking Indiana tonight on the road in New Jersey! Huge fade on the Nets who are have just finished a 3 game road trip, are playing 3rd in 4 days and are on their 2nd of a b2b after getting blown away by the Cavs! It doesn't take a genius to see this team is in a hole right now! The Nets roster was thin to begin with this season and now with Lopez missing they lack and real presence in the middle.

The Pacers are playing their 2nd of a 4 game road trip and are coming off a disappointing loss to the Pistons. Before that though started the season 3-0. I like them to get back to their winning ways tonight! Indiana are rested and have obvious size advantage with Hibberd, West and Hansborough! This is my big play for the night and I see the Pacers winning big!

(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)

Milwaukee Bucks At Denver Nuggets
ATS - BUCKS +5 (x1) PUSH

Once again this is another huge fade spot! This time the Nuggets! Denver are on b2b2b games here coming off 2 tough matches against the Lakers and will be playing their 5th game in 6 days! What a way to start the season! While the Bucks are well rested. Playing just their 3rd game of the season and their 2nd in 6 days.

Denver based their game on the back of pace against the Lakers with Lawson in particular dominant against 37 year old Fisher. Tonight will be tougher for him against the much younger and quicker Jennings and a tough defensive unit in general. I like the fresher Bucks to be tough to shake tonight and may win outright! Taking the Bucks with the points!

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)