DOUBLE - RABBITOHS +4.5 / TOTAL SCORE UNDER 34.5 (x2.5)
Souths venture to Penrith for Monday Night Football minus a number of stars. Inglis, Burgess, Asotasi. However on the back of the good form of Sandow I think they can grind out a win in wet cold conditions. Penrith has been ordinary this year but have improved over the last fortnight. Petro and Jennings both backing up. This game really toss of the coin and value with the Bunnies! Penrith give up the most penalties in the league and off the back of that indiscipline Sandow, Luke and Sutton to capitalise. Bunnies for me 10 - 4!
(1.2u @ 3.15 @ Sportingbet)
PAST RESULTS
Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
FOLLOW TWITTER
I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
Monday, May 30
Sunday, May 29
AFL OFFICIAL PLAY
ATS - EAGLES +29.5 (x1.5)
Adding 2ND H - EAGLES +15.5 (x1)
West Coast are one of the hot teams in the comp right now! Coming off a demolition of the Dogs last week they are on fire! This is a huge test, playing Collingwood at the MCG! Are this young group up to the challenge? Most definately! Collngwood got out of jail last week with a last quarter rush! They are seriously missing Jolly and now with Brown still out also are struggling to be competitive in the ruck. Up against the Eagles this is not the area you want to be struggling. Cox and Nic Nat will work young wood over and try to deny the Magpies on ball brigade first use. Another area West Coast have the upper hand is with their tall forwards Lynch, Darling and Kennedy! All three are in good form and will require close attention. Not something the Magpies backs really like doing. Reid and Tarrant yes will do a job but Maxwell or O'Brien will have to man up on the other.
Collingwood at home should have enough to get over the line but I really like the Eagles chances here for reasons stated earlier. I think they can win and am happy have a 5 goal start.
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
Adding 2ND H - EAGLES +15.5 (x1)
West Coast are one of the hot teams in the comp right now! Coming off a demolition of the Dogs last week they are on fire! This is a huge test, playing Collingwood at the MCG! Are this young group up to the challenge? Most definately! Collngwood got out of jail last week with a last quarter rush! They are seriously missing Jolly and now with Brown still out also are struggling to be competitive in the ruck. Up against the Eagles this is not the area you want to be struggling. Cox and Nic Nat will work young wood over and try to deny the Magpies on ball brigade first use. Another area West Coast have the upper hand is with their tall forwards Lynch, Darling and Kennedy! All three are in good form and will require close attention. Not something the Magpies backs really like doing. Reid and Tarrant yes will do a job but Maxwell or O'Brien will have to man up on the other.
Collingwood at home should have enough to get over the line but I really like the Eagles chances here for reasons stated earlier. I think they can win and am happy have a 5 goal start.
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
AFL OFFICIAL PLAY
DOUBLE - LIONS +39.5 / DOGS +39.5 (x1.5)
ATS - BULLDOGS +23.5 (x1.5)
2ND H - BULLDOGS +16.5 (x2)
(Game line +48.5)
Brisbane travel to Adelaide in an unusual situation, coming off a win! On the back of the return of J.Brown the Lions notched up their first win of the year against Nth @ the Gabba. While the Crows played some of their best Footy for 3 quarters against the Magpies. Then an avalanche of goals in the last crushed the crows! How will that affect this group who have stuggled for much of the year. Their confidence would be shot! The Lions quite the opposite, getting that first win and have Brown inside the forward 50 will give the young Lions enormous confidence! While the Crows should win at home, I don't think they will have it their own way. lions to give them a scare and keep this one close.
2nd up I like the Bulldogs to respond from one of the worst performances in the clubs history! They were pathetic in the second half last week against the Eagles. They have recalled Lake, Hall and have give Gilbee a reprieve whic is a positive move. Lake and Hall in particular will give them structure and take a little pressure off the younger players who have been trying to fill those rolls. Lake is an interesting one, he has been seriously out of form but insisted he be played today. Given he has a terrific record on Buddy this could prove a master stoke! If anything it may play on the mind of the Hawthorn champ. While I'm not sure the dogs can get the points I expect a huge lift in effort here today! Take the Dogs and the points.
(1.55u @ 1.98 @ Centrebet)
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.25u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
ATS - BULLDOGS +23.5 (x1.5)
2ND H - BULLDOGS +16.5 (x2)
(Game line +48.5)
Brisbane travel to Adelaide in an unusual situation, coming off a win! On the back of the return of J.Brown the Lions notched up their first win of the year against Nth @ the Gabba. While the Crows played some of their best Footy for 3 quarters against the Magpies. Then an avalanche of goals in the last crushed the crows! How will that affect this group who have stuggled for much of the year. Their confidence would be shot! The Lions quite the opposite, getting that first win and have Brown inside the forward 50 will give the young Lions enormous confidence! While the Crows should win at home, I don't think they will have it their own way. lions to give them a scare and keep this one close.
2nd up I like the Bulldogs to respond from one of the worst performances in the clubs history! They were pathetic in the second half last week against the Eagles. They have recalled Lake, Hall and have give Gilbee a reprieve whic is a positive move. Lake and Hall in particular will give them structure and take a little pressure off the younger players who have been trying to fill those rolls. Lake is an interesting one, he has been seriously out of form but insisted he be played today. Given he has a terrific record on Buddy this could prove a master stoke! If anything it may play on the mind of the Hawthorn champ. While I'm not sure the dogs can get the points I expect a huge lift in effort here today! Take the Dogs and the points.
(1.55u @ 1.98 @ Centrebet)
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
(2.25u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
NRL OFFICIAL PLAY
DOUBLE - STORM -2.5 / TIGERS +12.5 (x1)
St.George have over half their side backing up from Origin in this match where the Tigers were all at home watching. The Dragons are experienced and should get the win however this is the perfect opportunity for Benji to weave his magic and catch the Dragons napping. They may be off their game there for happy to take the Tigers with the points.
As stated in earlier play am including the Storm giving up a small margin as I feel they are specials to win well also today.
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Centrebet)
St.George have over half their side backing up from Origin in this match where the Tigers were all at home watching. The Dragons are experienced and should get the win however this is the perfect opportunity for Benji to weave his magic and catch the Dragons napping. They may be off their game there for happy to take the Tigers with the points.
As stated in earlier play am including the Storm giving up a small margin as I feel they are specials to win well also today.
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Centrebet)
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