Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, March 25

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - CATS (x1)
Adding:
2ND H - CATS +5.5 (x1) (cats down by 8 @ half)


This is a very interesting match. Two powerhouses of the past 3 - 4 seasons but most expect both to take a small slide in 2011. I'm not one of them. Geelong have had a mountain of changes since last year. No Gary Ablett, No Bomber Thompson, Max Rooke has retired but they have quickly turned that into a positive i believe as bringing in a fresh new coach in Chris Scott and some youth into the side is exactly what this side needed. The likes of Scarlett, Mooney, Ling, Enright, Corey etc would have experienced something different this off season for the first time in their careers. Stkilda are much the same, they have recruited a few spare parts in Gamble and Polo which may help here and their but they are backing their existing list to do the job once again. They will be egar to take to the field and put their disastrous off season in the past.

Tonight the Saints will be without big men Gardiner and Kosi as well as goal sneak Schnieder. McEvoy gets the number one gig and I think he will do well. He could use a bit of help as he will have seasoned campaigners Ottens and Blake to compete with. The Cats go in a little under done with Ling, Pods and Chapman all missing and Varcoe, Mooney and Scarlett doing limited pre seasons. This one will be close and honestly could go either way. Geelong are value at 2.25. Geelong are typically great starters to games and Stkilida not. The Saints and Nick Riewoldt in particular tend to tire their opponents and come home strong. I think Geelong with a new coach at the helm and J.Selwood as Captain will be out to impress first up and I expect them to take the early point and lead after the 1st.

Adding Geelong 2ND H a plus 5.5 point start. Effectively meaning total game line is 13.5. Geelong couldn't have played any worse scoring just one goal for the half. Selwood is out for the game but cats still in touch. I expect a better showing in the 2nd H

(0.95u @ 2.05 @ Sportsbet)
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at

1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsMarch 26, 2011 at 12:14 PM

    1-1 Split tonight slight profit 0.05 units

    Cats terrible start but come home strong and actually pinch this one outright

    ReplyDelete

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