Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Monday, March 28

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - STORM -2 (x1)
ATS - STORM -4 (x2) (Buying 1/2 point @ alternate lines)
Adding 2ND H - STORM -6.5 (x1)(Storm down by 4 @ half)



Melbourne have started 2011 with a bang! while they were a little rusty in their first game against Manly, they still managed to win by 12. Then last week they smashed the Titans by plenty! this game was over after 20. This task is a little tricky travelling up north and playing their first away game of the year against a Cowboys outfit that will be keen to bounce back after losing last week to the Knights. The bad news for Nth Queensland is this Storm outfit love playing up there! their record is 9-3 @ Dairy Farmers and have beaten the Cowboys in their last 8 matches by an average of 24pts! Melbourne own the Cowboys! the last time they have enjoyed success over the Storm was in 2006. That record is to hard to ignore.

Melbourne will be unchanged and don't have any real injury concerns while the Cowboys are without Winterstien, Tate and Bolton. Melbourne to have to much class all over the park and with the guidance and kicking game of Cooper Cronk and Cam Smith to give plenty of opportunities to Slater and the outside backs, the Storm will prove too good leading from start to finish! Storm by 22.

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
(2.5u @ 1.80 @ Sportingbet)
(1u @ 2.5 @ Centrebet)

1 comment:

  1. LOSS....... -4.6 units

    Big loss! This was my bet of the round and the storm just didn't produce! Was sure they would come out better in second half but that only added to the pain.

    ReplyDelete