Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, April 1

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - SAINTS -25.5 (x1.5)


SAINTS WILL BOUNCE BACK!

The Saints well be looking to bounce back here tonight after letting last weeks game against Geelong slip. They controlled the major part of that contest and will be bitterly disappointed they didn't close it out. Richmond or more specifically Jack had an impressive 3rd term against Carlton last week which edged them in front but besides that they were out gunned all over the park. Carlton didn't put them away in the first half, had a laps in the third but came up trumps in the end. The scoreline actually flatters the Tigers as after watching the game felt the Blues were a 7-8 goal better side.

The Saints won't have a laps like that. Richmond will struggle to score in this one as looking through the Midfield's and St.Kilda will be far to dominant for the young Tigers here tonight. The likes of Hayes, Dal Santo, Montagna, Goddard, Gram, Ray and Jones up against Martin, Cotchin, Jackson, Foely, Edwards, Conca and Grigg. While the Tigers are improving Experience will prevail here. Saints midfield will be to good and provide plenty of supply to Roo! I'm not sure who goes with Riewoldt tonight? With Rance and Moore out the Tigers look a bit short down back. I expect the Saints to exploit this.

Saints have beaten the Tigers in their last 13 matches! Richmond has not tasted success against St.Kilda since 2003! St.kilda will be to strong and bounce back winning by 40+

(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

1 comment:

  1. LOSS..... -1.65 UNITS

    This matchs end in a draw!

    saints have some worries with Hayes doing his knee. tough times ahead

    ReplyDelete