Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 2

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - SUNS (x2)
Adding 2ND H - SUNS +30.5 (x1)

SUNS TO CATCH THE BLUES OFF GUARD EARLY

Gold Coast play their first ever AFL match tonight against Carlton @ the Gabba. While it would have been nice to open their campaign @ their own home stadium this is close enough. Their are so many unknowns about this newly formed club and Carlton will be going in a little blind and wont have done their usual prep and study on this opponent. One thing that is known is if the Suns are ever going to be up and about its going to be for the first 20min of this one! You can expect their experienced players Ablett, Brown, Rischitelli, Bock, Fraser, Brennan, Harbrow and Harris to be out to make a statement. They will be fierce at ever contest and out to prove this club is no easy beats! While I do expect the Blues to come away with the win I think they will get quite a scare!

The Blues were rusty in their opener against the Tigers last week kicking 2-8. While you can excuse this being round one they were relatively slow starters in 2010 and better finishers. I see value in the Suns to be in front after the 1st quarter @ 3.35.

(0.85u @ 3.35 @ Sportingbet)
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
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1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsApril 4, 2011 at 7:32 PM

    Loss ...... -1.95 units

    The Suns were dealt a lesson here in their first match. Really rusty and have plenty of work to do

    ReplyDelete

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