BAYWATCH BETS: AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 30

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - LIONS (x1.5)

Richmond has not won a 1st Q this year! While Brisbane have a 2-2 split. Richmond are coming off a close come from behind win against the Roos on Sunday night. They may come out a little flat once again. A mini let down is a huge chance with this young group. Brisbane put up a good fight against the Saints last Thursday night so they will have a few extra day rest. Brisbane have a tall forward line with Leuenberger and Clark. This will stretch the Tigers as they back half lacks any real size. Brisbanes spine of Merrett, McGuire, Black, Clark and Leuenbeger looks pretty good. I think the Lions are a good chance here tonight. Lions to lead after the 1st.

(1.1u @ 2.35 @ Sportsbet)