BAYWATCH BETS: AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Thursday, April 28

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

ML - SWANS (x2)
MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x2)

SWANS WILL BE TOO STRONG @ HOME

The Swans are up against the Blues tonight @ home. They have been freshened up after having the bye last week and have a very good record against Carlton. Especially here @ the SCG. The blues have not won here since 1993! Carlton just scraped over the line last week against the crows in Melbourne in a less than convincing fashion. I think the Swans are playing great team footy! each player knows his role and they are very disciplined. The limited ground space of the SCG will worry the blues who rely heavily on they outside runners. This ground suits the Swans with Mumford a classic down and dirty ruckman. He will have plenty of followers in Bolton, Jack, Kennedy, McVeigh and the game breaker Goodes! Swans will be too good and win a low scoring battle!

(2.7u @ 1.75 @ Sportingbet)
(1.3u @ 2.56 @ Centrebet)