Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, April 15

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ML - BOMBERS (x1.5)

Essendon are up and about at the moment. They are full of confidence and are playing with a new lease on life. James Hird and the new coaching staff have done very well with this young group so far. But make no mistake Hird and Thompson will not be getting ahead of themselves. Carlton is a big scalp they want. Traditional rivals will pack out the MCG for what should be a beauty!

For me though although Carlton were respectable last week against the Magpies I still feel they are a key back and a genuine key forward short. I think both midfields match up pretty well but it's these key posts that will see the Blues come unstuck. Fletcher and Ryder or Hurley at either ends will provide that class in the key posts to give the Bombers the edge and the win. Essendon by about 15pts.

(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsApril 16, 2011 at 4:50 PM

    PUSH......

    Well another draw! the third for the season only 4 rounds in and the second i have bet on...
    Essendon got out of jail and did extremely well having two players down in the first quarter.

    ReplyDelete

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