BAYWATCH BETS: AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Thursday, April 28

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - MAGPIES -34.5 (x1.5)
Adding 2ND H - MAGPIES -22.5 (x1.5)
4TH Q - MAGPIES -5.5 (x2) (-13.5 game line)

Western Bulldogs are missing Hall, Higgins, Hudson for this one and return from a tough loss in Perth. Collingwood wouldn't even know where the Airport is. They will be up for this one and win well.

Adding 2nd half which is effectively my original bet so just adding units. Really like collingwoods work rate that quarter and I expect the floodgates to open this quarter. dogs will tire after travel last week.

(1.65 @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
(1.85u @ 2.1 @ Centrebet)