Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Wednesday, April 13

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY x2

DOUBLE - KNICKS +12.5 / LAKERS ML (x1.5)
PLAYER POINTS - KOBE BRYANT -25.5 (x1)

As we get closer to the playoffs you have to wonder what kind of effort will be put in from some teams. This can be a dangerous time to be betting, but it can also offer plenty of value if you choose you sides carefully. Tonight I see the Lakers in a must win situation. The 2nd seed is their if they want it. Dallas are currently 1/2 a game in front but have just one game to play. So if the Lakers want it and I'm certain they do they must win tonight! Then take care af the Kings tomorrow. The Spurs have nothing to gain by winning tonight, they have the top seed in the west locked up and by their own admission "this game means more to them than us" the Bookies have adjusted with the line out to -7. You would have to think the Spurs starters will be rested more than usuall tonight. Lakers to win this one as the 1st half of my double. I am playing on Kobe to score over 25 in this game also tonight. He was in good touch for mist of the game against the Thunder Scoring 31 but just couldn't finish the game. As this game is huge for the Lakers I expect Kobe to lift again and take it opon himself a lot more offensively tonight. Expect 30+ again from the number 24!

The second leg of this double I'm taking the Knicks with extra points. As with the previous game. Chicago has the top seed locked. They are playing great basketball and this one isn't that important to them. You would have to think their starters must get a rest as they are about to enter their biggest playoff assult since the great MJ days. This is the 3rd game on the road also. New York also have the 6th seed locked and will possibly be without Amare again but are in awesome form winning 7 in a row! Their confidence is back and will want to put in a good effort in front of their home fans! They may have a slight look ahead to Boston tomorrow. But with the Bulls likely to take the foot off the pedal and rest players I like the 12.5+ in this one.

(1.75u @ 1.83 @ Centrebet)
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Sportsbet)
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1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsApril 14, 2011 at 7:54 PM

    1-1 Split -0.75 units

    0.5 pt loss here....... Enough said.

    Kobe came through scoring 27

    ReplyDelete

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