Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, April 3

NRL OFFICIAL PLAY x2

1ST H - DRAGONS -2 (x1)
ATS - DRAGONS -3.5 (x2) (buying 1pt)

It will be interesting to see how St.George react after the anouncement that Sir Wayne will be leaving after this season. I expect them to lift that little bit extra. This may be a little push these players needed to go back 2 back! They take on the Knights here today @ Energy Australia Stadium, a place the Dragons have an outstanding record @ 10-2 against the Knights! Newcastle have plenty of injury concerns coming out of last weeks loss to Manly, and still have up to 6 of their starters unavailable. They will get their captain Gidley back which will lift the side but he will be underdone. The Dragons are without Waymen but this team is a class outfit and Bennett will have someone ready to come in and do that job.

The dragons traditionally are a front running team. They tend to get out to a 6-12 point lead early then muscle up in defense making it impossible for it's opponent to score, grinding their way to a win! I expect much the same here and Bennett will make it very clear to take the crowd out of the equation by scoring early and staying in front. Dragons to lead @ the half and cover SU.

(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
(2.35u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)
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1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsApril 4, 2011 at 7:26 PM

    1-1 Split but a loss of 1.35u

    Dragons lead well at the half but failed to cover the 3.5 winning by just 2. Unlucky here

    ReplyDelete

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