Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, May 20

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - CATS -15.5 (x2)
Added: AFL LIVE Qtr Time:
ATS - CATS -1.5 (x2)





Geelong are Flying! After being written off after last year this team has tweaked it's game style slightly and is on fire! Normally you would suggest a team coming off a huge win like geelong over the Pies would be in line for a letdown. But this Geelong outfit has done all this before. They won't be getting carried away with a big win in May. Carlton have impressed and are looking a likely top 4 team. I still have doubts on their defense and if Judd doesn't fire they do tend to drop off. Carlton will go in to this one having had recent success over the Cats. But those 2 loses were at the MCG, looking through the stats the Geelong has not fair as well at the G as they have at home and at The dome! And this one is at Etihad! Geelong has won all 8 matches between these two sides at the Dome and play under the roof extremely well.

Just going back to the Blues back half, the inclusions for Geelong could prove very smart additions. Taylor Hunt will take one of the Blues quicks down back, Milburn can play small or tall forward or back and the young ruck man on debut Vardy will most definately be pushed forward along with Ottens to really stretch the Blues back half. Jamison and Thorton will be occupied by Pods and Hawkins, who takes the next tall? Then you have S.Johnson, Chapman, Bartel, And Stokes roaming through there.... Headaches are on the cards for the Blues!

Geelong just seem to have the Blues covered in all match ups and as they play this ground as well as the do Skilled Park they have the edge! Will the passing of one of Geelongs favourite sons in Bob Davis play any part? Who knows but Cats to win and cover here tonight. Geelong by 25+

(2u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)
(2.2u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)
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