Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, June 18

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - BOMBERS -7.5 (x3)

After their explosive start to the season @ 5-2-1, Essendon haven't won since round 8! going 0-3 plus a bye. Its fair to say the honeymoon period is over! However looking closely at the time this team began to struggle its no coincidence it was after captain Jobe went down and Hocking was suspended. Well both these guys are back today which is a huge plus. In fact its not often you like to see a team make 5 changes but I must say on this occasion I do. Hird has recalled Stanton, Bellchambers, Lonergan, Pears for his first game of the year as well as Hocking as I mentioned. All of a sudden this Bombers team is close to full strength.

Another factor that swings in favour of the Bombers is this game is being played at Etihad. They are 4-0 at this ground this year and clearly prefer to play under the roof. Their press doesn't seem as effective on the bigger grounds as it does at Etihad. Nth are 3-3 under the roof in 2011. The Roos have won 2 in a row for the first time this year but with wins over Adelaide in melbourne and the Suns so they should. Its tough for any team to get 3 on the trott especially a young group like the Kangas.

Watson, Stanton, Hocking, Lonergan and Bellchambers leading the midfield charge get the Bombers back on track and they will enjoy success at thedir favourite venue here today. Bombers win and cover!


(3.3u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
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