Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, June 3

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - HEAT -4.5 (x2)

MIAMI EDGE CLOSER TO THE PRIZE

I am again rolling with Miami here in game two for much of the same reasons as in game one. I am surprised the line has opened exactly the same. Miami have clearly lifted their game and playing @ home is critical in this series. As stated in Game one post Miami is a much more rounded side now with Haslem crashing the boards and applying his energy and also with Miller finding touch and offering another option.

Miami has only given up over 91 points in the Playoffs this year here @ home once and that was in game one of the Phili series where they clearly didn't have their minds on the job and got punished. I don't see this trend ending tonight. Miami are a much tougher match up defensively for the Mavs. They are extremely quick and just dominate the boards! Its worth noting Dirk has a tendon issue in his non scoring hand. Will this cause a problem? Physically I wouldn't think so, but mentally? It may play on his mind. You could almost feel this group go from a star studded line up to a championship team in Game two of the Chicago series. During that game Haslem returned and Miller came to play! For me Miami as in game one has the upper hand and with James at the top of his game and full of confidence this one will finish in the same fashion. Heat by 8 - 10.

(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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