Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Monday, June 13

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY

NBA FINALS SERIES RESULT - HEAT 4-3 (x3.5)
NBA FINALS GAME 6
1ST Q - HEAT -1.5 (x1)
PLAYER EXOTICS - JAMES TOTAL POINTS over 25.5 (x2)
2ND H - HEAT -4.5 (x2)

MIAMI TO TAKE CHAMPIONSHIP 4-3
Wow! What a series, this will go down as one of the greatest battles of all time. So surely we have another game to go right..... Absolutely! Miami are down 2-3 and this is a must win game! They are back on their home deck and this will play a huge influence on this Championship. The Heat were galant in Dallas but won just 1 of 3 in what were all close games. Through out this series Miami has dominated the inside, Rebounds and Points in the Paint(+32 in the Series). Although they lost game 5 they take some big positives from it. As in that game Miami Finally leveled the FT made with 21-21 and had more 3pt attempts.

One area that Miami must curb the MAVS domination is in the second 1/2 of the final quarter. Since game 1 Dallas has outscored Miami 67-29! +38 points! This is where Dirk takes over. Miami must address this and close out games much better. There is no question Dirk is the Key for Dallas. When he is on the floor the MAVS are +67pts and without him -44 during The 2011 Finals. There is no question LeBron has been down on his game lately and I expect him to turn it on tonight on his home floor. There is no question this guy has the ability to tear this one open and I see a huge night for L.James 30+

I still see Miami winning the championship as I feel they get this one then ride to game 7 full of confidence and take the series. Therefor have taken Miami winning 4-3 instead of playing this game outright as odds are tight and 5pts is a bit high given the recent history. I do however feel Miami will take this game on right form the start in the 1st quarter and won't hold up. Miami to lead at quarter time and win outright.

(3.5u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)
(1.1u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)
(2.35u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)
(2.3u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

No comments:

Post a Comment