Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Wednesday, November 2

NRL 2012

NRL YTD: 2-0-0 (+2.02u @ 100%)

FOUR NATIONS

AUSTRALIA @ ENGLAND

ATS - KANGAROOS -16 (x1) PUSH

Australia face England at Wembley Stadium this week end for the second round of matches in the 4 Nations. Both teams came away with a win as expected in their openers with the Aussies defeating NZ by 14 and England taking care of Wales by 38. The English do claim to be an improved outfit and with regular NRL players Heighington, Reed, Widdop and Ellis you could see why. Adding to that the up and coming talent Tomkins and Vet Morley they will be out to impress in front of their home crowd.

This all sound good but could you believe the Aussies actually get stronger!!! GI is back and the Poms will still be having nightmares from the last time this man played against them. Australia do lose Shillington to injury but have named Farrar, B.Scott & Parker on the extended interchange as more than capable cover. Australia simply dominate on every line here. The Poms strengths would be young fullback Tomkins who will ask plenty of questions to the Aussies defense, but then Billy will do that and more. And while England's pack of Ellis, Heighington and Morley will provide a decent platform, the Aussies pack of Gallen, Scott, Lewis, Thiaday and Watmough will prove a hard task to contain. Thurston, Lockyer, Smith, Cronk is a nightmare for anyone just ask New Zealand.....

Australia lead the H2H match ups 6-2-1. Winning their last match up convincingly 34-14 in Australia last year. England's 2 wins were on home soil but I'm really clutching at straws to make a case for the poms here in this one. As I have stated previously, the Australians have made a commitment not to get to far ahead of itself in this tournament and take each game at a time with equal importance as a result of recent tournament collapses.

Quite simply Australia dominate in all areas across the park and will prove to strong. They will have to many points in them for the Poms to contain and stay with. Australia beat the Kiwis by 14 and I see them as stronger opposition than England so the Aussies to win well in this one.

TIP: AUSSIES by 26pts

(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
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