Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, November 13

NRL 2012

NRL YTD: 2-0-1 (+2.02u @ 100%)

FOUR NATIONS

Australia v Wales
1ST H - KANGAROOS -22.5 (x1.5)

Let me firstly say this price is an error on Sportingbets behave as the actual 1st half line is -24.5 @ $1.91 and the have their alternative line of -22.5 @ $2.00 where it would normally be @ $1.72.

Australia are big favourites here and rightly so! They will be without Slater, Tonga and Williams and will rest Lockyer and maybe more but they still have more than enough talent to cause some serious damage on Wales. Sheans will have the luxury of trying a few thing out and give different players more minutes. There replacements are Yow Yea, Morris, Parker, and Cherry-Evans. Boyd will slot into the fullback position with Yow Yea and Morris starting on the wings. Cooper Cronk will partner JT in the halves and Parker is added to the forward rotations. This side still looks bloody good!

I expect the Aussies to make a statement here early. With "fringe" players given more opportunity expect them to do everything they can to be their for next weeks final. England defeated Wales 42-4 and NZ beat them 36-0..... This one will get ugly! Australia to cover the 22.5 in the opening halve and win convincingly.

TIP: AUSTRALIA by 50+
and to lead by 30+ @ the half

(1.5u @ 2.0 @ Sportingbet)
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