Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, December 25

NBA 2012

OPENING NIGHT!

The NBA is back!!!

As I posted last week, these are my 2 plays for the season opener! Since I jumped on these early, the prices have moved significantly! The Heat have gone from -2.5 out to -4.5 and the Clippers have gone from +1.5 (I bet them SU @ 2.06) out to -5.5 Fav! Hope you all took these early.

Miami @ Dallas
ATS - HEAT -2.5 (x1) WINNER


In the Rematch of last years Finals, Miami must travel to Dallas and watch as they unveil the Championship flag! As if they needed any reminder.... I really like the Heat again this year and it's not hard to see why. They have kept their core unit in tack and added a few handy pieces in Battier and Curry to add to their depth. The biggest plus for Miami is this is their 2nd year together and that in itself is huge! As dominant as they were last year, I expect them to improve given the time they have all spent together learning each others games and gelling.

Dallas on the other hand will still be a force in the West but I expect them slip back a little. While they have added Odom And Carter, They have lost Chandler, Butler, Berea and Stevenson! This will hurt them on both ends of the floor! Dallas unlike Miami will need some time to gel.

Miami will have been waiting for this game to come since lasts years final! Not only are the Heat more talented they have a Huge revenge angle here as well! Miami will get the job done and spoil the Mavs party!

TIP: HEAT by 9

(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

LA Clippers @ Golden State
ML - CLIPPERS (x1) WINNER

I liked the Clippers last year and now the "other" team in LA just became "THE" team in LA! The additions of CP3, Billips and Butler are as big as it gets! Add these guys to one of the most promising talents I have seen in Griffen and young center Jordan and this Clippers team looks awesome!

The Clippers open their season again the Warriors in Golden State. As I stated earlier I jumped on this game as soon as the CP3 trade became official and over the last week or so the price as moved enormously! Paul is the perfect fit for this group and will bring the best out of the 2 young big men! I really like Butler, he can create his own shot and will release plenty of offensive pressure from both Paul and Griffen. He is the perfect 3 man. Another important piece is Billips! If he accepts his role and becomes the 2 guard, he too will add that fall back for Paul as he is more than capable of running the offense, creating his own shot or simply be a support and hit that spot up shot! Alot to like about the Clips in 2012!

Golden state were amoungst plenty of trade talks but amounted to nothing! Curry is a stud! And will be once again the star of this team. Ellis is solid but selfish. And Lee is also solid but needs a big defensive presence next to him! The Warriors will again score a ton of points but they stink defensively! Something I'm sure new coach Jackson will be trying to improve. But this will take time.

Tonight will be the Clippers night! Far to much talent and unless Curry and or Ellis have career nights I see them winning this one well!

TIP: CLIPPERS by 12

(1.0u @ 2.06 @ Centrebet)
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