Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, March 24

AFL

AFL 2012 Preview


The season is upon us and I cannot wait! Here are some of my thoughts on the teams and a top 8!

Premiership contenders:
HAWKS
Team to beat in 2012 IMO. They will be hungrier than ever with Roughhead back will be right there come september!
PIES
No secret here, still tone of talent and losing last year will prove a driving force! Injury setbacks and new head coach has me thinking may not be as dominate early? But betting against them is madness!
BLUES
This side has done the hard yards and is coming of age! Judd, Murphy, Gibbs will all perform but for me A fit Kruz and Waite are the key!
CATS
I expect them to be there abouts again, but with huge personnel changes have to drop off a little! Love the kids coming through though and Selwood is a born leader. Never bet against these boys at home!
DOCKERS
This side has all the talent in the world, disappointing last year but were crucified by injuries! Barlow, Sandilands, Moribito all back and healthy. I expect Ross Lyon to give this flashy exciting team a touch of hardness! Love them to be the big improvers in 2012!
EAGLES
Will again figure in September action and if all goes to plan as did last year may slip into top 4. I think they caught the league off guard last year after finishing bottom 2010. Others will be ready and the Eagles may not have it all their own way 2012?

ALL OTHERS
SWANS
Will always give 100% and should fight it out for the 6-8 spots
SAINTS
New coach, aging stars, not a huge amount coming through, although we havent seen many as yet. I expect a bit of change here. Wouldn't surprise to see the Saints fall a little this year.
KANGAS
This year this group will break through! Love the list and the use of Goldy, HMac and Petrie intrigues. Can they all play in the same 22? Good decision to have! Love the mids with new leader Swallow, Wells, Ziebel, Attly, Cunnington, Bastinac! Look for some much deserved smiles in the Nth camp this year!
DEMONS
Who really knows? This group was suppose to be the next force! Still waiting? They took a huge step backwards last year and I expect them to improve I don't see them being a real threat! 8-10
TIGERS
Another year older for this young group and finals? Not quite but will prove a handful for some. On the up!
BULLDOGS
They will welcome some stars back Cooney and Lake but will look to their kids to step up now without Hall and Hudson moving on. Patience is needed with new coach on board. They slide a little for mine. 10 - 12.
BOMBERS
Again hard to say? They came out full of energy with new coach in 2011 but fell away. A young team will do this. They didn't add anything really so steady improvement is expected. Dempsey and Winderlich a big ins. Top 8? Maybe?
CROWS
Could be a bit of a sleeper? Much like WCE last season. Like the kids and new coach will add toughness! If can turn the trip to SA into a tough one for all teams will have a nice run at the 8! Home ground is the key! Wait n see with this lot? Maybe next year?
BRISSY
improvement? Definitely! Voss is doing now what he should have 2 years ago! Now has stars Brown and Black aging very quickly! Will win more than last year but not a real threat.
POWER / SUNS / GIANTS
Not this year! Spoon anyone?

Saying all that my final 8 will be:

HAWKS
PIES
CATS
DOCKERS
BLUES
SWANS
EAGLES
KANGAS

Freo in the 4? I think they might surprise a few. SAINTS / BOMBERS just miss out! Can't wait for the season to begin!
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