Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, April 6

AFL

AFL SATURDAY

Fremantle @ Sydney
ATS - SWANS -5.5 (x1) WIN


The Swans host the Dockers in what may well feel like their first match of the new season. Sure they played 2 weeks ago now against the Giants in a stand alone match but now is when the real stuff begins for Sydney. The Swans were average in that game, just doing what was needed to fend of GWS winning by 10 goals +.

They will get a boost with O'Keefe and Shaw both named for this one while the Dockers will miss the little pest Ballantyne. Fremantle were super impressive in their 1st up win over the Premiers Geelong. So good I'm not sure that same effort can be repeated straight up. Let down here I suspect.

The few key factors as to why I'm against the Dockers are Let down as mentioned above, travel factor and the loss of Ballantyne cannot be underestimated. He does give them a spark when needed. On the Flip side Sydney are at home, well rested and have added two key players. Sydney are fantastic at the contested ball and on the smaller spaces of the SCG I see Sydney limiting Freos run and carry. Mumford will be a huge challenge for Sandilands to stay with all game. He has formed a great relationship with Kennedy and those two will give Sydney plenty of forward entries. Swans get the points, win by 19pts
(1.15u @ 1.87 @ Sportsbet)

Melbourne @ West Coast
ATS - EAGLES -49.5 (x1) WIN

The Demons have had a week from hell! With all the gossip and end undo I feel for Neeld. He must be thinking what on earth have I got myself into here! Melbourne have a number of players missing here Maloney, Davey, Sylvia to name a few and were just awful last week against the Lions. A game they really had to stand up in and they all just went missing.

The Eagles look ominous. This team is well drilled and just look ready to go very deep in September. I just cannot see the Demons staying remotely close to the Eagles over in Perth. This one will be ugly! Eagles by 75!
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
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