Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 21

AFL

RD 4 - SATURDAY

GWS @ Adelaide
ATS - GIANTS +90.5 (x1) WIN

The Giants showed improvement last week and actually covered against the eagles! Sure the game was over by quarter time and West Coast clearly took their foot off the peddle in the 2nd half but it was still an improvement. I expect the same thing to occur here against the Crows.

Adelaide will come out strong and as the Eagles did put this one to bed early. With Port up next I expect Bickley to put his troops away and have that game in his sights. With that and the weather expected to be wet I like the Giants to squeeze out another cover and stay within the 15 goals offered.
Crows win this one by 65pts
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Hawthorn @ West Coast
ATS - EAGLES -4.5 (x1) WIN

As I stated above the Eagles were well rested last week and went through not much more than a training drill. Woosha clearly had these hawks on his mind and prepared beautifully! West Coast has actually had the easiest draw to start 2012! With wins over the Bulldogs, Demons and Giants. This one will be a big step up.
Hawthorn on the other hand has done well sitting at 2-1 with wins over Collingwood and Adelaide and only just losing to the Cats. So their opening 3 weeks has been a real test. All this without their Captain Luke Hodge who will miss yet again. He leaves a big hole in this team but the main area of concern for Clarkson has to be these Eagles Big men. Cox and Nic Nat in the ruck is to big a task for Hale and Roughead, who really aren't starting ruckman. Then when either of these guys is resting down forward who takes them? West Coast already has Kennedy, Lynch and Darling up there. This is a real concern for the Hawks.

With the rest alot of these Eagle got last week and with Hawthorn having to travel on a six day break over to Perth I think the eagles are primed for this one and will be to good at home.
Eagles by 23
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Pinnacle)

ADDED
PLAYER EXOTIC
Brisbane @ Gold Coast
MOST DISPOSALS - GARY ABLETT (x1) LOSS

This is for Ablett to lead a group of 8 players selected by Sportsbet including
Black, Rockcliff, Hanley, Raines, Brennan, Swallow and Rischitelli.
(1.25u @ 1.80 @ Sportsbet)
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)