Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, April 29

AFL

RD 5 SUNDAY

Sydney @ Hawthorn
MARGIN - HAWKS 1-39 (x1) LOSS

Sydney will travel to Tassie today to play the Hawks in a home away from home game for them. Hawthorn has an incredible record down here winning their past 7 straight! Hawthorn have added their inspirational skipper Luke Hodge for his first match of the year which will give them a huge lift. Birchall, Breust and Puopolo are also back which gives the Hawks close to their best line up this week.
Sydney receive Goodes back from suspension this week but their big ruckman Mumford will miss again and has been ruled out for up to a month. Rohan is also out for the rest of the year after breaking his leg last week. While the Swans have been very good to start 2012, 4-0. Today is their biggest test. I feel they will close the game down as usual but Hawthorn have to much talent and play this ground very well. The Hawks who are also returning from Perth so I like the 1-39 margin here.
Hawks by 17.
(0.8u @ 2.25 @ Pinnacle)


West Coast @ Richmond
ATS - EAGLES -18.5 (x2) LOSS


Richmond host the undefeated Eagles today under the roof at Etihad. The Tigers have been good to start 2012 and have clearly improved. Last weeks gallant defeat against the cats down in geelong would  have taken its toll  on this young group and I suspect a letdown is coming.

West coast has won its only match in Melbourne this season here under the roof comfortably. I see this as a big miss match with the Eagles bigs. Cox and Nic Nat will run rings around Maric and Vickery, While Rising star nominee Grimes and improving youngster Rance will be way out of their depth against the Eagles forwards Kennedy, Lynch and Darling.
West Coast are a much  better side and will put on a show today in perfect conditions under the roof.
Eagles by 35.
(2.2 @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)
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