Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Tuesday, April 10

NBA

NBA: 114-112-10 (+7.10u @ 50.4%)

Boston Celtics At Miami Heat
ATS - CELTICS +7.5 (x1) WIN

Miami host Boston in a big revenge match for the Heat! Miami were beaten badly against the Celtics last start. Rondo had a day out! A huge triple double and really exposed a weakness in Miami's line up. Charmers at the point was clearly out of his depth and Rondo will again look to take control of this match.
Wade will return after taking the last game off with and ankle compliant, weather he is 100% is unknown as he was always going to suit up for this rematch! Both teams here have had a night off and that works in Boston's favour. As the older team they clearly perform at the best with rest.

While Miami are always hard to beat at home and have revenge on their minds I like Boston in this spot getting 7.5 start. They are an experienced team and will be well prepared for Miami just as they were last start. The Celtics big four are healthy, Garnet has been in red hot form this past month, Allen seems to has embraced his new role off the bench, Pierce is always dangerous and well Rondo is they key tonight! I believe he will control the tempo of this game and I expect a tough and close match. Like the points here.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)


New York Knicks At Chicago Bulls
ATS - KNICKS +9 (x1.5) LOSS
Chicago and New York meet again after playing each other just days ago in a classic which the Knicks held on to beat the Bulls by a point in OT! Chicago were disappointing in many areas of this game. Their shooting was off with Rose one of the main culprit's. They struggled on the boards as Chandler proved to big a force on defense and Deng was totally out played by Melo!

I expect the Bulls to respond here and are exceptional at home. However New York is in fantastic form and full of confidence right now. Shumpert was huge defensively in their last game, really putting the clamps on Rose and didn't give him any easy looks. Expect much of the same here. Deng needs to turn up also, at least defensively as Melo just did as he pleased last game. While when he is in that frame of mind he is almost impossible to stop, Deng also needs to offer something on offense.
Rumour is Rose pulled up sore after his first game back. As anyone who has returned from a long lay off with injury will know, it's much harder to get up for your second game back. With that in mind I like the Knicks to be really competitive here and happy to take the +9 on offer!
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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