Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, May 4

AFL

AFL : 22-21-0 (-1.96u @ 51.2%)

ROUND 6 - FRIDAY NIGHT

Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
1ST Q - MAGPIES -10.5 (x2) LOSS
2nd H - MAGPIES -20.5 (x1.5) LOSS

Collingwood still have plenty of work to do to get back to the force they once were but they are on the up with a gutsy win over the surging Bombers on Anzac day. This win I believe is just what this group needed.
The Magpies receive a boost with key defenders Reid and Shaw both back for this one. Both these guys positions in the back six cannot be underestimated. As Reid will now allow Maxwell to take 3rd tall and Shaw takes the pressure off Harry O as his run and carry is second to none.
The Dogs while have won their past 2, these were against Melbourne and GWS. They still have plenty of work to do. They are really lacking in the key areas. Their spine consists of Lake, Austin, Minson, Jones and Roughhead is very inexperienced. I cannot see them handling Collingwoods Spine on Reid, Maxwell, Jolly, Dawes and Cloke.

Collingwood has won its past 4 against the Bulldogs and lead at halftime in 7 of the past 8 between theses two sides. The Pies have started games exceptionally well leading in 4 of the 5 games so far this season at the 1st change. The Dogs are on the opposite end of the scale leading just once after the 1st quarter in their opening 5 games. The Bulldogs have also struggled here winning just 1 of past 6 at Etihad. With having the extra rest I like the Magpies to start with a bang!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportsbet)

OTHER GAMES
St Kilda v Hawthorn
1ST H - HAWKS -12.5 (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportsbet)

Adelaide v Sydney
MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x1)
(0.80u @ 2.2 @ Pinnacle)
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