Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, May 5

AFL

RD 5 - SATURDAY

St Kilda v Hawthorn
1ST H - HAWKS -12.5 (x2)  LOSS


The Hawks were dread full in the second half last week against the Swans and have been smashed in the media all week! some even labeling their performance as "they Dogged it"! these are very harsh words. Yes they were bad but the Swans are a top side, especially at home. The Hawks returned from a tough battle in Perth and have faced Collingwood, Geelong and the Crows also to start the year. Tough draw!

I will excuse this lapse as simply fatigue and a bit of a letdown coming off such a big month and returning from the Eagles battle in Perth. Expect a different side tonight! The Hawks have been outstanding starters to games anyway this year it has just been their second half efforts that have been questioned. With the inclusions of Birchall and Smith, plus Hodge will be better for the run last week This team looks pretty strong all round. Hawks to start with a bang tonight.
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportsbet)

Adelaide v Sydney
MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x1) LOSS
Sydney have been on fire! 5-0 to start the year and none of those victories was more impressive than last weeks come from behind smashing of the "Flag Favourites" Hawthorn. Sydney have some what flown under the radar to start the year and perhaps caught some teams a little off guard. They are a very evenly spread group. The likes of Parker and Jetta have really come on and Kennedy is now an elite onballer!
The Crows have been ok since their outstanding NAB cup win and showed a few good signs in last weeks showdown. Dangerfield was outstanding and he should expect some close attention today. I think the Crows shouldn't be taken lightly today and will take it right too the swans. I expect a low scoring battle but Sydney at home to get the points. They win under 40>
Swans by 15.
(0.80u @ 2.2 @ Pinnacle)

ADDED
Melbourne @ Geelong
2ND H - CATS -28.5 (x2) LOSS
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)

PLAYER EXOTIC - MOST DISPOSALS GROUP 2
*A.CHRISTENSEN (x1) LOSS
over
J.Kelly, C.Enright, S.Johnson, C.Sylvia, Morton, Grimes and McKenzie
(0.2u @ 6.0 @ Sportsbet)
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