Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, May 18

AFL

ROUND 7 - FRIDAY NIGHT

Geelong @ Collingwood
ATS - CATS +6.5 (x1) LOSS


The Grand final rematch! But both sides are clearly not playing as well as they'd like. Geelong was handed its biggest defeat in about 2 years at the hands of the Crows. While the Pies have quietly strung together 4 win on the trot it must be noted 3 of these were against Brisbane, Western Bulldogs and Port. Still winning form is good form.

I have this game as a pick with some nice angles leaning towards the Cats. Geelong has won 10 straight at the G and it last 3 over the Magpies Including last years GF! So they will have confidence knowing they can beat them. The Pies will have that revenge factor but Geelong is coming off a big loss and have been questioned by everyone. Not the time you want to face Geelong.

Both have great inclusions with Thomas, Jolly, Dawes and Fasolo for Collingwood and Bartel, Scarlett, Stokes and Big O for the Cats. This pretty much evens itself out I would have thought. However Bartel back for the Cats is massive! He tore up the Pies in the GF and always lifts for these types of matches. Its also James Kellys 200th, Geelong win these big milesone matches.

For me the fact Geelong has such an outstanding record at the G and coming off a blow out gives them the edge. Cats win a close one. Take the points.
Cats by 10
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

OTHER MATCHES
*KANGAROOS -15.5 (x2)
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