Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, May 19

AFL

ROUND 8 - Saturday

Nth Melbourne @ Port Adelaide
ATS - KANGAROOS -15.5 (x2) LOSS

I'm really big on the Kangas today, after last weeks performance against the much hungrier Dogs, North have copped a pounding, Both through the media and internally. Scott hasn't tries to sugar coat his feelings towards his groups last display and I guarantee the would have felt it this week on the track!

The Kangas have a great record against Port winning 6 of past 8 and last 3 straight by and average margin of 47pts. They just seem to have their measure and put them away convincingly. Port are in a bad spot here, returning from the dreaded Perth trip and on a short turnaround having played the late game Sunday and now cop the early game Saturday.

Alot of my key factors point to a good Kangas win today. Bounce back, recent head 2 head, schedule factor, better overall side. Kangas win well today!
North by 38pts
(2.2u @ 1.93 @ Sportingbet)

Fremantle @ Hawthorn
DBL - KANGAROOS -11.5 / HAWKS 1-39 (x4) LOSS

I have also doubled this up in a separate bet that was too good to refuse @ $4. I like the Hawks today also to get the win in Tassie against the Dockers. Hawthorn has won 5 of its past 6 against the Dockers and 7 of past 8 here at Aurora. They play this ground extremely well. I was surprised to read that Freo has played in Tassie 7 times. But not surprised they have come away with just one win from these games by a single point.
Hawks win but I think under Ross Lyons new style they keep the Hawks honest. Hawks under 40 for value here.
(1.3u @ 4.01 @ Centrebet)
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