AFL

ROUND 9
Early one for round 9 as I see this price moving. Both Reid and Swan will miss for the Pies. Write up and more to follow....

Collingwood @ Adelaide
ATS - CROWS -11.5 (x2) LOSS

As stated above I jumped on this line nice and early as was sure it would move. It has but not as badly as I thought out to -13.5 now. I would still take this!

Adelaide are in red hot form! its as simple as that. Sanderson has given this group a licence to take the game on and they look stronger and fitter than ever! Dangerfield is one who has really relished under this new approach as he is the perfect prototype for Sanderson's run and carry style game plan.
The Crows have lost just one game so far under their new coach including the NAB cup! this is extraordinary. I did rate this side in my AFL preview and stated they had the potential to get the jump on the comp as West Coast did last year and boy have they ever!

Collingwood have steadied after a rocky start no doubt and have won their past 5 straight. They are coming off an impressive win against last years Premiers also. However Bucks cannot catch a trick with more injuries hurting his side. This time its the Brownlow Medalist Swan and All Australian defender Ben Reid! Two crucial players in this line up. Collingwoods back six looks very thin with Tarrant, Brown and now Reid missing. Now the midfield has taken another hit after losing Ball earlier in the year.

with this many injuries to cover, facing the inform team in the comp on the road is a mighty tough ask! Crows win and win well here in front of a packed house at AAMI. Footy is back in SA and the Crows are leading the revival! Crow by 34pts
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Hawthorn @ Richmond
1st H - HAWKS -11.5 (x1) LOSS

I've taken the Hawks here to start well against the Tigers at the MCG in what looks to be a close match up. Hawthorn like Collingwood have got their season back on track after a few hiccups early in the year and are coming off a big confidence boost thumping the Dockers in Tassie last week. Richmond while competative once again failed against the Bombers in a cracker.

Richmond have been close on a lot of occasions this season and one would think they will start to win these sorts of games but not today. Grimes out  is a big loss as Buddy will now be left up to Rance. This will allow Roughead to take the next rall defender which is???? Your guess here is as good as mine.
Unless the Tigers can beat the Hawks well in the Midfield their Back six will be exposed badly! Hawthorn are one of th better starting sides while the Tiger simply are not. They continue to allow their oppositon to take big leads and mount a comeback in the 3rd and 4th quarters. I see this trend continuing today. Hawks lead well at the main change and go on with it!
HAWKS by 42
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

Sydney @ St.Kilda
ML - SAINTS (x1) WIN

Lenny Hayes 250th. Saints will lift for this one. Etihad is their favourite ground by a country mile! The Saints play this ground as good as anyone. Real advantage for the Saints here. Sydney do not play well in Melbourne. However MCG is where they struggle the most. The Saints have shown signs of improvement and will up and about for this one. No Ruckman other than Kosi hurts but they are lucky as Mumford is out also. Saints win a tight one for Lenny tonight!
(1u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)

Essendon @ GWS
1st H - BOMBERS -34.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)


OTHER GAMES
*1ST H - EAGLES -8.5 (x2)