Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, June 1

AFL

ROUND 10

Richmond @ St. Kilda
ML - SAINTS (x2) LOSS

The Saints are quietly moving along nicely sitting 5-4 with wins over Carlton and Sydney in the past 3 weeks impressive. But its the Tigers who are catching all the headlines of late, especially after demoralizing the Hawks last week. Still they are just 4-5 all be it against some tough opposition. But no they have to deal with something very unusual for the Tigers, expectation. They are now expected to win and have gone from the hunter to the hunted.

The Saints are Richmond's bogey team, no question. The last Richmond win over the Saints was way back in 2003! the did manage a draw at the G last year but here at Etihad the Saints have won their past 11 straight over the Tigers! St.kilda has an outstanding record here under the roof and the Tigers simply do not! If this was played at the MCG it would be a completely different story.

I cannot go past those figures alone, but like I said earlier the Tigers are now dealing with this expectation that is foreign to them. Coming off such a high last week could see a let down tonight against the unheralded Saints. Take St.Kilda SU tonight.
Saints by 21
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Sportsbet)

SATURDAY

GWS @ Geelong
ATS - GIANTS +76.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 Centrebet)

Nth Melbourne @ Hawthorn
MARGIN - HAWKS 1-39 (x2) LOSS
(1.65u @ 2.2 @ Sportsbet)

Adelaide @ Fremantle
ATS - CROWS -8.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Carlton @ Port Adelaide
ATS - BLUES -17.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)