Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Monday, May 28

NBA PLAYOFFS

OKC @ San Antonio
ML - THUNDER (x1.5) LOSS

Game one of the Western Conference Final. This series should be awesome! I really like OKC's chances here to catch the Spurs off guard in game one. San Antonio are in great form no doubt but they haven't had much of a challenge so far this post season. Utah and an injured Clippers team really? Compared the the Thunder who have swept last years Champs Dallas and dealt with an extremely tough match up in the Lakers. Two very experienced playoff teams. This would have hardened Oklahoma and given them the world of belief and confidence that their time is now!
OKC are a tough match up for the Spurs. Durant the most obvious will prove to much for the rookie Lenayrd. Then it will be up to Wallace who is a good defender but can he match it with KD all night? Durants length will test the whole spurs defense tonight. If he gets going look out!
Then theirs Westbrook who's match up with Parker could define the series. Parker has been is career best form while Westbrook is capable of beating anybody. This is one to watch. I like Perkins and Ibaka to frustrate Duncan and Blair defensively and that's all they need to do. These guys have been huge in these playoffs and held their own against the Lakers bigs. This challenge is just as tough but I see them matching.
The real wild card for mine is Harden. He comes in off the bench and will have the Spurs second unit to contend with. Manu, Wallace, Diaw etc. The Spurs bench production has been one of their strengths and now if Harden can match them and he will give them plenty to think about I like the Thunder to steal one here and turn this series on its head!
I see real value @ $3.00 plus in the Thunder to win SU tonight. 5pt start is sitting on the fence as this isn't enough of a start to feel safe as so often in close games this line gets blown out in the last 90 seconds. Go for the value! Thunder win by 6!
(0.65u @ 3.3 @ Betfair)
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