Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Wednesday, May 23

NRL

STATE OF ORIGIN
GAME 1
*NSW BLUES +6.5 (x1) LOSS


This has to be the best chance the Blues have had in a number of years and they will go into tonight's game with some confidence on the back of last years series. Sure they lost the series but did manage to win one game and kept QLD to just 16 and 8 points in the first two games of the series. That is a huge effort against the scoring power QLD posses.
A few areas I really like with the Blues this year is Carney for one! I already suspect the Maroons are a little nervous about this guy. He is in red hot form, on par if  not better than when he won the Daily M a couple years back. Carney adds that real X factor and going by what he has done for the Sharks this is a great selection by Rick.

Carney will be joined in the halves by Pearce. These two guys now each other very well having played 2 seasons together at the Roosters so I get the feeling Mitchell will now feel more at home in his role in the Blues jumper with his good mate along side him. The other factor I like is Farrar and Stewart. The #1 and #9 positions are crucial in today's game. Farrar offers a little more speed and flair which will keep Smith on his toes while Stewart gives that also but has he experience behind him. The backs of Stewart, Hayne and Uate looks very dangerous. And if T Rex can capture his form look out!
The Blues have opted for the more mobile pack and will be out to run the big QLD forwards off their feet. I expect them to target big Petro as while he has been a champion of the game I just feel this selection may come unstuck. QLD are a class side and deserve to be favourites, But I really like the Blues chances here to pinch game one in Melbourne. Take the points. (6.5 is huge compared to 5.5)
(1.13u @ 1.89 @ Centrebet)

Man of the Match Exotics
*CARNEY 0.2u @ $9
*FARRAR 0.05u @ $19
*TAMOU 0.05u @ $51
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