Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, May 25

NRL

ROUND 12
Canberra @ South Sydney
ATS - RABBITOHS -11.5 (x1.5) WIN


The Bunnies are full of confidence right now winning their past 3 on the trot. They have regained Burgess and will have both Inglis and Taylor back up from Origin. The Raiders who would have gained a little belief from their narrow win against the Eels last week have now been dealt a blow with gun fullback Dugan and flyer Ferguson ruled out for disciplinary reasons.

Bunnies win this in a canter for mine 13+
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Centrebet)
DBL - STORM ML / DRAGONS ML (x1.5) WIN

Taking a double here with the Storm at home to beat the Broncos on the road minus some of their stars. Melbourne have a terrific record at home and against the Broncos here in particular winning 12 of  15 and 11 of 14 in Melbourne. Brisbane just don't travel this far south to well.

The Broncos will be without Thiaday and Hodges but will get Gillett and Hannant back while the Storm has the luxury of all 3 stars playing in Slater, Cronk and Smith as they usually do. Brisbane also welcomes back Wallace from injury which is huge for them but I expect him to be a little rusty especially on the road and against one of the best in Cooper Cronk. Storm bounce back and get the win here.

The second leg is the Dragons at home against Paramatta. St.George has been a showdow of the once dominant side in the comp so far this year and have lost their past 3 with the most recent 2 by a single point in extra time! I just feel they stop the rott here at WIN Jubilee and will be to strong for the 16th placed Eels.
(1.4u @ 2.07 @ Sportsbet)
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)