Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Thursday, September 20

AFL - BROWNLOW MEDAL

AFL BROWNLOW MEDAL



BROWNLOW WINNER
*G.ABLETT (GC) $4.25 (x2) @ Bet365 L

*D.SWAN (COLL) $15 (x0.5) @ Pinnacle L



OTHER MARKETS

TOP 5 FINISH
*D.SWAN (COLL) $2.30 (x1) @ Sportsbet W

ROUND 10 LEADER
*S.THOMPSON (ADEL) $8 (x0.5) @ Luxbet L

HEAD 2 HEAD
*P.DANGERFIELD (ADEL) over T.COTCHIN (RICH) $2.15 (x1) @ Bet365 L

MOST TEAM VOTES
*WCE - S.SELWOOD $2.60 (x1) @ Bet365 W
Posted by at

6 comments:

  1. AnonymousSeptember 20, 2012 at 9:20 PM

    I was one of your supporters last year on bigfooty.com was really interested to see what you had this year. Personally I have Swan Thompson Ablett and Watson as all realistic chances to win it.... If swan polls a total of 2 or 3 votes in round 1 2 or 6 I have him winning it... I also have Thompson not far behind him at all... Rory Sloane and Walker rather than Dangerfield are the threats to him in some iffy games....Ablett will score between 25 and 32 votes.... Watson has a few ? late in the season but I have him getting high 20's... cheers brolo89

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  2. baywatch BetsSeptember 21, 2012 at 9:57 AM

    This comment has been removed by the author.

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  3. baywatch BetsSeptember 21, 2012 at 9:59 AM

    Cheers for the support mate. I haven't been on Big Footy or any forums for a while. Just no time these days. how are all the regulars over there?

    I agree with your top 4, Ablett, Thompson, Swan and Watson. Like Dangerfield to poll very well also. But I think G.Ablett will come out on top, even in so many losing sides. Swanny has arguably had a better 2012 than 2011 so he is seriously under valued once again IMO. Many dismissed him last year especially on big footy .... Will they do it again?

    Good Luck with your bets mate

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  4. FrostySeptember 21, 2012 at 10:25 AM

    Can't see Swan winning it again, Should've won it in '10 but under polled, the umpires clearly reacted by giving him extra votes last year when Judd should've won it. I imagine that once again the umpires will react to his over polling last year and give him less votes same as the did with Judd last year.

    Anything could happen though, the umpires seem to watch a different game to most of us.

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  5. frostySeptember 21, 2012 at 10:27 AM

    I'd be very happy with a Watson/Thompson/Ablett trifecta :)

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  6. AnonymousSeptember 22, 2012 at 6:08 PM

    So this means Ablett will win? :(

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