NRL

Round 16 MNF

Newcastle @ West Tigers
ATS - Tigers -5.5 (x1)
(1.25u @ 1.82 @ SportsBet)

NRL

Round 16 Sunday

Melbourne v Canterbury
ATS - Storm -2 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ SportsBet)

AFL

Round 13 - Sunday

GWS @ Melbourne
ATS - Giants +25.5 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

Adelaide @ Nth Melbourne
ATS - Crows -18.5 (x2.5)
(2.75u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

AFL

ROUND 13 - SATURDAY

WCE @ Collingwood
Margin - MAGPIES 1-39 (x1) WIN
(0.85u @ 2.15 @ Sportsbet)

DOUBLE - MAGPIES PK / CROWS PK (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

NRL

Round 15 - Saturday

Canberra @ Nth Queensland
ATS - Cowboys -10.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ SportsBet)

AFL

Round 13 - Friday

Geelong @ Sydney
Margin - Cats 1-39 (x1) LOSS
(0.55u @ 2.90 @ SportsBet)

NRL

Round 16 - Friday

South @ Brisbane
Gold Coast @ St. George

DBL - Broncos PK / Dragons PK (x1) WIN
(0.9u @ 2.1u @ SportsBet)

NBA Finals

OKC @ Miami
Game 5
ML - Thunder (x1.5) LOSS
(1.0u @ 2.46 @ SportsBet)

NBA Finals

OKC @ Miami
Game 4
ML - Thunder (x2)
(1.5u @ 2.34 @ SportsBet)

NRL

ROUND 15 - MNF

Melbourne @ Manly
ATS - STORM +4.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.96 @ Luxbet)

NBA FINALS

GAME 3

OKC @ Miami
ATS - THUNDER +4.5 (x2) LOSS
(2.15u @ 1.93 @ Pinnacle)

AFL

Round 12 - Sunday

Brisbane @ Hawthorn
ATS - Lions +51.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

Port Adelaide @ Western Bulldogs
Margin - Bulldogs 1-39 (x1) WIN
(0.85u @ 2.20 @ SportsBet)

NRL

Round 15 - Sunday

Penrith @ Gold Coast
Sydney City @ West Sydney

DBL - Titans PK / Tigers PK (x1) LOSS
(0.9u @ 2.11 @ SportsBet)

AFL

Round 12 - Saturday

Richmond @ GWS
ATS - Giants +54.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ SportsBet)

Nth Melbourne @ Gold Coast
1st Q - Kangaroos -8.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ SportsBet)

NRL

Round 15 - Saturday

NZ @ Cronulla
ATS - Sharks +4.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

Parramatta @ Souths
ATS - Rabbitohs -4.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.94 @ SportsBet)

NRL

Round 15 - Friday

Brisbane @ Nth Queensland
ML - Cowboys (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

AFL

Round 12 - Friday

St.Kilda @ Adelaide
Margin - Crows 1-39 (x1) WIN
(0.9u @ 2.15 @ Luxbet)

NBA Finals

Game 2

Miami @ OKC
ATS - Thunder -4.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Luxbet)

AFL

Round 12 - Thursday

Carlton @ West Coast
ATS - Eagles -24 (x1.5) LOSS
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Luxbet)

NBA Finals

Game 1

Miami @ OKC
ATS - Thunder -5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

NRL

Round 14 - MNF

New Zealand @ Penrith
ATS - Warriors -5.5 (x1) WIN
Buying 1pt to get under the 6 margin
(1.2u @ 1.84 @ Centrebet)

AFL

Round 11 - Monday

Collingwood @ Melbourne
ATS - Magpies -46.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

AFL

Round 11 - Sunday
Hawthorn @ Port Adelaide
1st H - Hawks -13.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

NRL

Round 14 - Sunday

Gold Coast @ Cronulla
Brisbane @ Sydney
DBL - Titans +12.5 / Broncos +12.5 (x1.5) WIN
(1.65u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)

NBA Playoffs

Eastern Conference Final
Game 7
Boston @ Miami
ATS - Celtics +8 (x1) LOSS

NRL

Round 14 - Saturday

Canberra @ Newcastle
ATS - Knights -4.5 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ SportsBet)

AFL

Round 11 - Saturday

Fremantle @ Richmond
ATS - Tigers -30.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ SportsBet)

St.Kilda @ Gold Coast
ATS - Saints -43.5 (x1) WIN
U/O - Under 180.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

Sydney @ Essendon
2nd H - Bombers -4.5 (x1) WIN
(Game line Bombers +32.5)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)

AFL

ROUND 11 - FRIDAY

Geelong @ Carlton
ATS - CATS -13.5 (x2) LOSS

Carlton look a shadow of the side that was rated as a premiership threat earlier in the year. They are coming off an embarrassing performance over in Adelaide where Port beat them easily! that statement in itself is hard to fathom. Now they must regroup and face Geelong at Etihad....

Carlton has won just 3 of the past 12 against the Cats. There record also suggests their not great under the roof winning just 2 of past 7 and whats worse is against Geelong at Etihad they are 0-9! Now if your not big on stats which by the way those are very one sided in any ones language, the Blues have added Scotland to their injury list which still contains Murphy, Carrazzo, Laidler and Waite. On the flip side Geelong welcomes back Enright, Hawkins, Corey, Wojo and Motlop! Geelong and Stevie Johnson have started to find form and will go into tonights match full of confidence. Something that is eluding the Blues right now

Cats coming off a GWS win at home. The Blues returning from interstate where they were beaten badly. Everything points to the Cats tonight and I think on the fast track cover this line well.
CATS by 35pts
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

Write up to follow.....

NRL

ROUND 15 - FRIDAY

West Tigers @ Melbourne
ATS - TIGERS -6 (x1) LOSS

Pretty simple here, Storm are hit with Smith, Slater and Cronk missing tonight while the Tigers just have to cover Farrar. The Storm have two new faces in the halves with widdop moving to fullback to cover Billy. Wests are in rare form winning 7 straight! Benji is in great form also. He will prove to much to contain and on the flip side the Storm will sorely miss their play makers.
TIGERS by 14
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS
GAME 6

Miami @ Boston
1st Q - HEAT (x1) WIN

2nd H - CELTICS -4 (x1) LOSS
(Game line Celtics +9)

Much like yesterdays game, Miami are in a do or die situation facing the Celtics in Boston. This crowd will be deafening! Miami know they must get off to a good start and try and eliminate the crowds influence. Will they win the game? I'm not so sure. My gut feeling is come the last quarter the Heat my feel the pressures and the experienced Celtics will get on top.

But for me I like Miami to start well and lead at the first change. Their may be value after this on Boston.
(1.1u @ 1.94 @ Sportsbet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINAL - GAME 6
San Antonio @ OKC
1st Q - SPURS +1.5 (x1) WIN


Its fair to say the Spurs have been stunned these past 3 games. After putting on a clinic in game 2 and being in complete control of the series up until that point the Thunder have gone Bang! winning the next 3 straight and the latest and most important game 5 in San Antonio!

Tonight is do or die for this Spurs team and they must bring it tonight. Its a tough ask to beat  OKC in their own building and to be honest I'm not sure they will. That crowd is one of the most vocal I have ever seen. When the Thunder get on a roll and they will, they just go nuts! The younger stars on the Thunder side really get a lift from this and I think they  may take this one SU. Will they cover? that's the big question.

Either way I think were in for a cracker tonight and the Spurs know they must get on top early. They must eliminate the home crowds influence and not let the Thunder get on a roll. So in saying that I have stuck with the Spurs 1st Q, this time getting +1.5 start. I played this last game and was looking good until OKC went on a 18-6 run in the last 5min or so. The Spurs must contain this and they know their best chance in this game is to be in front or at least right with them early.

Spurs will take it to OKC tonight in the opening 1st, 2nd and maybe even 3rd quarters but eventually I think the Thunder break away and off the back of the home crowd win.
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Centrebet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINAL - GAME 5

Boston @ Miami
ATS - CELTICS +8 (x1) WIN

With the series tied at 2-2 I feel Boston has the upper hand right now. Many expected Miami to just push the Celtics aside an move right onto the NBA Championship. Not so easy. Bosh has been missing which has really hurt, he is a chance to play tonight which I feel either way has created a distraction that Miami really didn't need right now. If he plays he will be rusty and Miami will need to re adjust everything they have worked on these past 4 games without him. If he doesn't well the thought that he may would have been on the Miami players minds these past 48 hours. Either way I don't like it.

Boston clearly has the upper had and momentum right now. They have just tied up the series, won the past 2 matches and what is most important to me is Ray Allen has got his tough back! This changes everything. If Ray can heat up again look out Miami. If not they will be wary either way from his form last game so he is sure to spread the defense which creates more space for Rondo to work in. He has been the player of the series for me. He is confident he can dismantle Miami's Defense and will do so again here.

While I do expect Miami to be ready tonight and possibly win, I don't think they have it all their own way. Boston with all these points is to good to pass up as they could surprise and pinch this one.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINAL - GAME 5
OKC @ San Antonio
1st Q - SPURS -1.5 (x1) LOSS
3rd Q - SPURS -3 (x1) LOSS

The series is tied 2-2 after some impressive performances from the Thunder on their home floor. What was most impressive last game was the output they recieved from their "other guys". Ibaka and Perkins shot 22 of 25 from the field! Are you serious! this is unheard of and I can promise you will not happen again.

I like the Spurs to bounce back strong tonight. They are back in their building where they have gone 34-5 su and 29-9-1 ats. Not to mention they are 8-1 ats coming off a loss when returning home. I have taken the 1st Q spread which may surprise as OKC are generally fast starters. But in fact they are not as dominant on the road where they are -0.2pts compared to San Antonio +4.4pts at home. After looking back at the series so far the Spurs have trailed at the 1st change only once, 2 leads, 1 tie and 1 behind.

I think this experienced group will set the tone here early and get the momentum back in this series. Spurs lead and cover the bucket after the 1st quarter tonight.
(1.15u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)

NRL

ROUND 13
MNF
Cronulla @ Paramatta
ATS - EELS +6.5 (x1) WIN
(1.25u @ 1.83 @ Centrebet)

I have had an awful time over the past month and this week was another bad one! dropped around x10 units! Just cannot get going lately. I am going to take a more cautious approach over the next 3-4 weeks just until I find my feet again. Sorry guys to all those who follow.

Bright side is for the year we are still in front but well back from the position we were in some 4-5 weeks ago. NBA is coming to a close then the focus is solely on AFL and NRL. Of those two the NRL has been steady but in the AFL I just cannot get going..... Frustrating! If some of you who followed last year recall it was the league which started off terribly but I did turn it around and ended up with a profit. Looking to do the same in AFL this year.

Looking to bounce back strong!!!

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINAL

GAME 3
Miami @ Boston
ATS - HEAT +3 (x1.5) LOSS
2nd H - HEAT -3.5 (x1.5) WIN

Miami travel into Boston with the Celtics facing a must win game. Boston threw all they had at Miami last game and lead by as many as 15 through out the 2nd Q. With the game going to overtime and Miami finally prevailing despite the efforts from Rondo! That was one of the best performances I have seen.
I know this is do or die for the C's and they are back at home but I'm very concerned on the energy this group has used so far. Coming off a tough 7 game series the C's looked tired game one. 100 times better in the second but still failed. Now they must back it up off one days rest with all the starters playing monster minutes. Add to this Ray Allens clear injury struggles as well as Pierce. This sides depth is being tested with Bradley out already.

Something just tells me Miami has withstood Bostons best shot and their younger stars will have more energy down the stretch of this one. I like Miami tonight.
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

AFL

ROUND 10

Richmond @ St. Kilda
ML - SAINTS (x2) LOSS

The Saints are quietly moving along nicely sitting 5-4 with wins over Carlton and Sydney in the past 3 weeks impressive. But its the Tigers who are catching all the headlines of late, especially after demoralizing the Hawks last week. Still they are just 4-5 all be it against some tough opposition. But no they have to deal with something very unusual for the Tigers, expectation. They are now expected to win and have gone from the hunter to the hunted.

The Saints are Richmond's bogey team, no question. The last Richmond win over the Saints was way back in 2003! the did manage a draw at the G last year but here at Etihad the Saints have won their past 11 straight over the Tigers! St.kilda has an outstanding record here under the roof and the Tigers simply do not! If this was played at the MCG it would be a completely different story.

I cannot go past those figures alone, but like I said earlier the Tigers are now dealing with this expectation that is foreign to them. Coming off such a high last week could see a let down tonight against the unheralded Saints. Take St.Kilda SU tonight.
Saints by 21
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Sportsbet)

SATURDAY

GWS @ Geelong
ATS - GIANTS +76.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 Centrebet)

Nth Melbourne @ Hawthorn
MARGIN - HAWKS 1-39 (x2) LOSS
(1.65u @ 2.2 @ Sportsbet)

Adelaide @ Fremantle
ATS - CROWS -8.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Carlton @ Port Adelaide
ATS - BLUES -17.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

NRL

ROUND 13

Nth Queensland @ Gold Coast
ATS - COWBOYS -3.5 (x1) LOSS

Taking the Cowboys here, I simply feel they are a better side. Gold coast has notched up a few wins of late and have been competitive but now this North Queensland side is at full strength and having dealt with origin will win here on the  Coast. JT and Bowens combination will have the Titans pack on their heels especially after having to contain the Cowboys giants.
Cowboys by 14
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

St.George @ Manly / Newcastle @ Brisbane
DBL - DRAGONS PK / BRONCOS PK (x2) WIN

Taking a double here as I really like Manly at Brookie against the Dragons. StGeorge are awful away from home and are really struggling to put up  any points. I think this will be a close encounter as the Dragons defense is still one of the best. So Manly just to win for me.

Add to that the Broncos at home up against the out of sorts Knights. This one will get ugly I feel. The line has blown out from -10.5 to -13.5 and more at some books. Much the same as the Cowboys here, The Broncos are now over Origin one and have their full squad ready to roll. Broncos by plenty!
(2.45u @ 1.82 @ Sportingbet)

SATURDAY

Sth Sydney @ Canterbury
ML - RABBITOHS (x1) LOSS
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALGAME 3

San Antonio @ OKC
ATS - SPURS +4.5 (x2) LOSS

The Spurs have been completely dominant in not just this series so far but for the entire post season. Clearly they do not get the praise the deserve. Winning 20 straight is unheard of in this league! Yet despite all that they go from -5 fav at home to +4.5 dog on the road? Really? Sure most expect OKC to get back in this or more so to grab a win at home but have you seen this Spurs team?

I'm not sure theirs much more OKC can do to be brutally honest. Their Big 3, KD, Westbrook and Harden stepped up last game and recorded 88pts between them! These are huge numbers especially against the Spurs! What they need is more production from their bench and these guys to heat up yet again. Big ask....

Plain and simple this Spurs team if anywhere near their best will beat anyone anywhere! I will say this, If OKC are ever gonna win a game and get beck in this series tonight is their night, But @ $1.60 or -4 ?the Books have over adjusted here for mine. Spurs are the value and could quite easily make it 3-0! happy to grab 4.5 start!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)