Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 2

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - SUNS (x2)
Adding 2ND H - SUNS +30.5 (x1)

SUNS TO CATCH THE BLUES OFF GUARD EARLY

Gold Coast play their first ever AFL match tonight against Carlton @ the Gabba. While it would have been nice to open their campaign @ their own home stadium this is close enough. Their are so many unknowns about this newly formed club and Carlton will be going in a little blind and wont have done their usual prep and study on this opponent. One thing that is known is if the Suns are ever going to be up and about its going to be for the first 20min of this one! You can expect their experienced players Ablett, Brown, Rischitelli, Bock, Fraser, Brennan, Harbrow and Harris to be out to make a statement. They will be fierce at ever contest and out to prove this club is no easy beats! While I do expect the Blues to come away with the win I think they will get quite a scare!

The Blues were rusty in their opener against the Tigers last week kicking 2-8. While you can excuse this being round one they were relatively slow starters in 2010 and better finishers. I see value in the Suns to be in front after the 1st quarter @ 3.35.

(0.85u @ 3.35 @ Sportingbet)
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at 1 comment:

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - CLIPPERS +1.5 (x1)

The Clippers still prove value in the opening quarter. They always come out well and are usually either in front or right there in the mix. Getting points is a bonus. They come up against a Phoenix team that is spent! as I stated against the Thunder this team are out of playoff contention and are a bit of a mess. Not sure where their list is headed and I'm sure that's whats running through the minds of the players. The Clippers are the complete opposite. They have an out and out star in the making in Griffin and this team is now building around him. Gordon is a gun, Williams is a classy point guard and a perfect leader, Kaman seems to be relishing in being that 3rd scoring option and coming off the bench while Jordan has the potential to be a defensive force and a dunking machine in the mould of a Dwight Horward! This team is going places. Looking back to one of my first posts and plays on the Clippers this is exactly what I suggested then. Clippers to have to much energy and will catch the lifeless Suns napping early.

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)
Posted by at 1 comment:

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - HAWKS +1.5 (x1.5)

Fading the Celtics here in this spot again. On B2B games on the road especially after a win. Much the same angle as the Pacers game we won on a few days ago. The old legs of the Celtic's just don't cope. They have some injury concerns as per usual as well with Krstic, Murphy and J. O'Neal all doubtful. This leaves their big men department a little short with Shaq still on the sidelines. Not a good situation especially against Atlanta as they have been known to play tall. Last start against Orlando they actually started with Collins, Horford and Smith just to stretch the Magic. I expect the same tactics again here tonight. Atlanta have found form winning their last 3 including that impressive win against Orlando last start. Expect their confidence to be up and they will be well rested. This is a double revenge spot for the Hawks, They will be keen to notch up a win to close out the series. Hawks to be switched on tonight and take care of the tired Celtics.

(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at 1 comment:

NBA OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - PACERS -3.5 (x1)

This is a big game for Milwaukee as if they drop this one their season is over. However I don't like their chances. They are playing their 3rd game on the road and their big man Bogut is very doubtful to suit up tonight. Milwaukee have been terrible on the road all season win just 11-25. While this is do or die for the Bucks it is also extremely important that the Pacers keep winning as they are only a half a game clear of the Bobcats in the playoff race. Indiana are playing good ball and their confidence is up. They will take the points here tonight @ home.

(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at 1 comment:
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