AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x2)

Fremantle travel down to Sydney to take on the Swans @ the SCG today still without arguably their best 2 players in Sandilands and Mundy. They are coming off the bye which hasn't played well for most this season and well we know how well they travel....

The Swans got a much needed win last week even if it was against the Suns minus G.Ablett. But a win is a win and it give the group confidence moving forward. The big advantage the Swans have here is in the ruck. Big Mummy should prove to good and will be impossible for the Dockers to contain. Fremantle are just not the same without Sandilands and the Swans will pounce! With home ground advantage and the fact the Dockers havent beaten a decent side on the road in over 12 months, Sydney will get the points by 2-3 goals.

(1.75u @ 2.15 @ Sportingbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - EAGLES +5.5 (x3)

EAGLES RUCK DUO TO PROVE THE DIFFERENCE TONIGHT

The Eagles have won 5 in a row! in their last two matches they have beaten Geelong @ home and Carlton in Melbourne at this very venue. besides Collingwood are the form side right now! While the Saints have found the way to win again. They have won their past 2 against the Kangaroos and the Power but clearly still have a lot of work to do.

Daniel Kerr will be missing from what is otherwise a full strength Eagles outfit with the inclusions of Lynch and Waters this week. The Saints are unchanged and finally look settled. For me the big Advantage the Eagle have is their pure size! I'm not sure how McEvoy will go trying to contain the inform ruck duo Cox and Nic Nat? and with the inclusion of Lynch the Saints back have will be tested against Kennedy, Darling and Q! I still have question marks over Zac Dawson and think he may be exposed here tonight.

Bottom line the Saints while are doing the right things and beginning to win again just get the inform Eagles at the wrong time. Their confidence will be through the roof after knocking off both Geelong and Carlton and having won here not that long ago will hold no fears doing it again. The Bookies have this one wrong starting St.Kilda favourites. Eagles to win and happy to take a little start in case we have a close one.

(3.3u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - MAGPIES -36.5 (x2)

COLLINGWOOD HAS ALL THE ANSWERS AGAINST THE INJURIED BLUES!

Carlton v Collingwood on Saturday afternoon @ the MCG! Big crowd expected for what most would hope to be a close encounter..... Not today.

The Blues have had a breakout season, No question but even at the best they are still a way back from the Magpies. Today they tackle the Premiers without a number of key personnel. I have expressed my concern about Carlton's lack of height all year and now they enter this blockbuster without Jamison, Waite, Hampson, White and Carrazzo! the first two are the big ones as these guys play a huge part of how this team operates.

The Pies are still without Dawes and Didak and upon recent events now will be missing Shaw. But the way this team has come back from their bye is scary! they are doing as they please and with  the likes of Swan, Pendelbury, Thomas, Cloke, Davis and Ball all in career best form the signs are ominous for the injured Blues! For me the Pies win easily 40+ and hand Carlton its 3rd loss in 4 games today.

(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

1ST Q - SUNS (x3)
ATS - SUNS +40.5 (x2)

The Suns will play back 2 back games in QLD for the 1st time this year and I think this will be a blessing for this young group. We all know the interstate teams do it tougher than the Melbourne based teams simply with the amount of travel week in week out. You just feel with this group of kids it is taking it's toll. McKenna will be loving that fact they don't fly interstate this week and have a further 2 games in QLD following this one as well.

The big question mark will be weather G.Ablett will play and if so how much game time will he play. Having watched him closely during his Geelong days I'm confident he will play a blinder! The young Suns will view this game as one they can realistly win! The Tigers have been awefulof late! Fell away against the Bombers and were smashed by the Blues! This line is far to big!

Richmond actually won their 1st quarter last week, just the second time for 2011! While the Suns have won just 4, this has actually been their best performing quarter all year! I see them as a real chance to lead after the opener and the odds on offer of 4.75 are to good to pass up on. And as I stated earlier 40+ is too big a line for the struggling Tigers here in QLD. The young Suns to turn up here today and get the Jump on the Tigers under the sun in QLD! They also stay under the points offered and may even win this one!

(0.8u @ 4.75 @ Sportingbet)
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)