NCAAB: 89-71-2 (+8.09u @ 55.6%)
WEEK 17
Weber State v Montana
ATS - WEBER ST +5 (x2) LOSS
(2.15u @ 1.94 @ Pinnacle)
Ohio State v Northwestern
ATS - NORTHWESTERN +7.5 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
Washington State @ UCLA
ATS - WASH ST +10 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Pinnacle)
Louisville v Syracuse
ATS - LOUISVILLE +9.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
North Carolina v Duke
ML - UNC PK (x1) WIN
ATS - UNC -1.5 (x1)WIN
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)
(1.2u @ 1.83 @ Pinnacle)
Gonzaga v Saint Marys CA
ATS - ST MARYS +2.5 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.97 @ Betfair)
PAST RESULTS
Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!
FOLLOW TWITTER
I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!
So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:
x1 unit play - $110 to win $100
x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150
x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.
I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.
Patience and Bankroll management is the key.
Good luck all and enjoy the ride....
Tuesday, March 6
Monday, March 5
NBA
NBA: 79-77-9 (+7.68u @ 50.6%)
New Jersey Nets At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - NETS -2 (x1.5) WIN
New Jersey are almost healthy, having Lopez back is a huge lift for this young team. Lopez as he has shown in his first few matches is a great low post threat and a real presence in the paint. Williams will love having Brook back in his side.
After an impressive win over Dallas a let down was always on the cards next up against Boston. Williams made the comment that to often this team has a poor performance following a loss. I expect him and his team to be pretty dirty on themselves and I expect a big lift here against the Bobcats.
Charlotte have been awful! There's no hiding it. They have won just 4 matches for the year and have struggled to stay with in double digits against everyone! They are very young and are rebuilding I get it, this year can't end quick enough. Bismack may also miss which won't help here against Lopez either. I expect Williams to put on a show. The Nets win comfortably!
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
ADDED
Chicago @ Phili
2nd H - BULLS -3.5 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
New Jersey Nets At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - NETS -2 (x1.5) WIN
New Jersey are almost healthy, having Lopez back is a huge lift for this young team. Lopez as he has shown in his first few matches is a great low post threat and a real presence in the paint. Williams will love having Brook back in his side.
After an impressive win over Dallas a let down was always on the cards next up against Boston. Williams made the comment that to often this team has a poor performance following a loss. I expect him and his team to be pretty dirty on themselves and I expect a big lift here against the Bobcats.
Charlotte have been awful! There's no hiding it. They have won just 4 matches for the year and have struggled to stay with in double digits against everyone! They are very young and are rebuilding I get it, this year can't end quick enough. Bismack may also miss which won't help here against Lopez either. I expect Williams to put on a show. The Nets win comfortably!
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
ADDED
Chicago @ Phili
2nd H - BULLS -3.5 (x1) WIN
(1.05u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
Sunday, March 4
NBA
Indiana Pacers At New Orleans Hornets
ATS - PACERS -5.5 (x2) WIN
Love the spot for the Pacers tonight up against the Hornets on the road! New Orleans is coming off a huge win for the club beating the NBA champs Dallas last night. For a team that is 9-27 and just 4-15 at home this is huge! Expect a huge letdown today folks.
To add to this angle the Hornets are playing b2b and 4th in 5 nights. Huge fatigue spot! Up against the well rested Pacers who have had 3 days off. I also see a huge advantage in the paint for Indiana. They are a terrific rebounding team with Hibberd, Hansbrough and West all very physical. West will have added motivation returning to is former home court for the 1st time.
The Hornets are still banged up missing Gordon, Okafor, Laundry, Smith and Ariza. Ariza may play tonight but 1st up off a long break he may be eased into the game. With all these injuries plus the huge minutes Jack, Kaman and Belinelli put up last night these Hornets will be off! Pacers win well tonight!
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
ATS - PACERS -5.5 (x2) WIN
Love the spot for the Pacers tonight up against the Hornets on the road! New Orleans is coming off a huge win for the club beating the NBA champs Dallas last night. For a team that is 9-27 and just 4-15 at home this is huge! Expect a huge letdown today folks.To add to this angle the Hornets are playing b2b and 4th in 5 nights. Huge fatigue spot! Up against the well rested Pacers who have had 3 days off. I also see a huge advantage in the paint for Indiana. They are a terrific rebounding team with Hibberd, Hansbrough and West all very physical. West will have added motivation returning to is former home court for the 1st time.
The Hornets are still banged up missing Gordon, Okafor, Laundry, Smith and Ariza. Ariza may play tonight but 1st up off a long break he may be eased into the game. With all these injuries plus the huge minutes Jack, Kaman and Belinelli put up last night these Hornets will be off! Pacers win well tonight!
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
NRL
ROUND 1 - SUNDAY
MANLY @ NZ
ATS - WARRIORS -3.5 (x1.5) LOSS
I'm really big on the Warriors chances this year and I think they settle a score here against Manly in round 1. In case you didn't hear the Warriors were beaten in last years Grand Final by Manly. Now these Warriors have had a whole off season to think about that, they will be hungry to put that game well behind them and the best way to do that is take out some revenge and win the next chance you play!
Mt Smart is a tough place to play and These Warriors will take pride in defending their home ground. I expect young guns Locke and Johnson to only get better and Friend is a great get as he is just a workhorse!
I'm not sold on Manly for 2012, don't get me wrong I see them as a treat again but maybe a slight slip from their dominance in the last few seasons. A new voice could be a good thing but it may take time to get use too. Manly's prep for this one isn't ideal, having traveled to the UK then back to Aus and now off to NZ. Take the home side to win a cover. Warriors by 8!
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
*I know -2.5 is still around at some bookies but to me the that extra point doesn't serve that much difference. As we know key numbers here are 2 & 4. So either way falls into this bracket. How often do you see a game decided by 3? My point is which ever you take it is likely for you to win 4 or more will be the goal! I see value with the -3.5 @ 1.95 over -2.5 @ 1.85.
MANLY @ NZ
ATS - WARRIORS -3.5 (x1.5) LOSS
I'm really big on the Warriors chances this year and I think they settle a score here against Manly in round 1. In case you didn't hear the Warriors were beaten in last years Grand Final by Manly. Now these Warriors have had a whole off season to think about that, they will be hungry to put that game well behind them and the best way to do that is take out some revenge and win the next chance you play!
Mt Smart is a tough place to play and These Warriors will take pride in defending their home ground. I expect young guns Locke and Johnson to only get better and Friend is a great get as he is just a workhorse!
I'm not sold on Manly for 2012, don't get me wrong I see them as a treat again but maybe a slight slip from their dominance in the last few seasons. A new voice could be a good thing but it may take time to get use too. Manly's prep for this one isn't ideal, having traveled to the UK then back to Aus and now off to NZ. Take the home side to win a cover. Warriors by 8!
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
*I know -2.5 is still around at some bookies but to me the that extra point doesn't serve that much difference. As we know key numbers here are 2 & 4. So either way falls into this bracket. How often do you see a game decided by 3? My point is which ever you take it is likely for you to win 4 or more will be the goal! I see value with the -3.5 @ 1.95 over -2.5 @ 1.85.
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